{"source":"manifold","id":"dNytldIuNO","ticker":null,"slug":"will-any-part-of-america-be-under-m","title":"Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?","description":"Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if:\n\nMartial law is active during voting hours\n\nIt has been declared by someone with authority to do so\n\nThis applies to any part of America\n\nThe declaration can be for any reason","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-20T01:18:34.247000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T02:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11610.04948789331,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.886444091796875,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.1,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SpeaksForTrees/will-any-part-of-america-be-under-m","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"dNytldIuNO","event_id":"dNytldIuNO","slug":"will-any-part-of-america-be-under-m","question":"Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if:\n\nMartial law is active during voting hours\n\nIt has been declared by someone with authority to do so\n\nThis applies to any part of America\n\nThe declaration can be for any reason","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-20T01:18:34.247000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T02:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11610.04948789331,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.886444091796875,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SpeaksForTrees/will-any-part-of-america-be-under-m","event_title":"Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/dNytldIuNO","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:59:22.530802Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?\" — top market at 10% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}