{"source":"manifold","id":"dQ55LhL9zu","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-IRZC9y0ZNQ","title":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?","description":"This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of August 27 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).\n\nResolution Details:\n\nPrimary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.\n\nSecondary Reference: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1 (shared for directional reference, this market does not resolve to this price)\n\nData Point: The \"Daily\" value listed for August 27\n\nTiming: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on August 27 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning).\n\nNote: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.\n\nStrictly more than not equal to\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T20:29:36.986000Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13438.293879150762,"volume_24hr":5731.004935268898,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":80.12928009033203,"normalized_volume":33.47633743286133,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":["prices","politics-default","finance","crypto-speculation","economics-default"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.076512,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.076512,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.160255,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3831.493802787463,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T14:46:20.839589Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T14:46:20.839589Z","added_at":"2026-08-27T03:41:58.495990Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-IRZC9y0ZNQ","chart_24h":[0.236767,0.192909,0.192909,0.192909,0.159515,0.133704,0.119635,0.119635,0.119618,0.076512,0.076512],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"dQ55LhL9zu","event_id":"dQ55LhL9zu","slug":"will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-IRZC9y0ZNQ","question":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of August 27 , 2026,(EDIT) as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).\n\nResolution Details:\n\nPrimary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.\n\nSecondary Reference: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/cl.1 (shared for directional reference, this market does not resolve to this price)\n\nData Point: The \"Daily\" value listed for August 27\n\nTiming: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on August 27 but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning).\n\nNote: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.\n\nStrictly more than not equal to\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.076512,0.923488],"probability":0.076512,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-20T20:29:36.986000Z","end_date":"2026-08-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13438.293879150762,"volume_24hr":5731.004935268898,"prob_24h_change":-0.160255,"volume_24h_change":3831.493802787463,"normalized_vol_24hr":86.75543212890625,"normalized_volume":33.47633743286133,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T14:45:19.062480Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T14:45:19.062480Z","added_at":"2026-08-27T03:41:58.495990Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/ShaneBo/will-the-wti-crude-oil-spot-price-b-IRZC9y0ZNQ","event_title":"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.236767,0.192909,0.192909,0.192909,0.159515,0.133704,0.119635,0.119635,0.119618,0.076512,0.076512]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/dQ55LhL9zu","as_of":"2026-08-27T14:49:00.514594Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $86.50 on August 27, 2026?\" — top market at 8% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}