{"source":"manifold","id":"dg0WQUhdzS4VEEQAC6YG","ticker":null,"slug":"will-china-land-people-on-the-moon","title":"Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?","description":"Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FiL37Es-gsC.png?alt=media&token=19ab9d65-6a11-4de8-9162-996714849067","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-29T14:06:19.597000Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16100.186169961726,"volume_24hr":6.176412537919669,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.3899056911468506,"normalized_volume":34.75022888183594,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.399742,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?","top_outcome_probability":0.399742,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-20.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T08:58:23.306391Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T08:58:23.306391Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-china-land-people-on-the-moon","chart_24h":[0.399742,0.399742],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"dg0WQUhdzS4VEEQAC6YG","event_id":"dg0WQUhdzS4VEEQAC6YG","slug":"will-china-land-people-on-the-moon","question":"Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Basically who is first to the moon excluding the Apollo landings.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FiL37Es-gsC.png?alt=media&token=19ab9d65-6a11-4de8-9162-996714849067","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.399742,0.600258],"probability":0.399742,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-29T14:06:19.597000Z","end_date":"2035-01-01T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16100.186169961726,"volume_24hr":6.176412537919669,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.331242799758911,"normalized_volume":34.75022888183594,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["China","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T08:57:41.354484Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T08:57:41.354484Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-china-land-people-on-the-moon","event_title":"Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?","chart_24h":[0.399742,0.399742]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/dg0WQUhdzS4VEEQAC6YG","as_of":"2026-09-08T11:26:27.404095Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}