{"source":"manifold","id":"f5zcF5iZUpKrcqmq5P2k","ticker":null,"slug":"will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a","title":"Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?","description":"I was supposed to get the stuff put on my teeth today, but it got postponed; since I'm leaving town I probably won't get it applied for another month or two. \n\nIt takes about a year for it to become effective, so this market is really \"Will I get any new cavities from 1 year after application (latest December 2023, so final cavity check Dec 2024), until the end of 2026?\"\n\nI'll do a dental visit around 1 year from application to check for baseline cavities, and won't count any that exist. \n\nI am historically very cavity prone, I've had I think 14 cavities? I have good but not great oral hygeine; I brush 1-2 times a day and go through phases of regular flossing and not flossing. I last visited the dentist 6 months ago and they said \"everything looks pretty good.\"","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-27T02:00:51.280000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21698.075979904206,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.427391052246094,"liquidity":2175.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Health"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.236314,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.236314,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T15:29:01.046258Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T15:29:01.046258Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a","chart_24h":[0.236314,0.236314],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"f5zcF5iZUpKrcqmq5P2k","event_id":"f5zcF5iZUpKrcqmq5P2k","slug":"will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a","question":"Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"I was supposed to get the stuff put on my teeth today, but it got postponed; since I'm leaving town I probably won't get it applied for another month or two. \n\nIt takes about a year for it to become effective, so this market is really \"Will I get any new cavities from 1 year after application (latest December 2023, so final cavity check Dec 2024), until the end of 2026?\"\n\nI'll do a dental visit around 1 year from application to check for baseline cavities, and won't count any that exist. \n\nI am historically very cavity prone, I've had I think 14 cavities? I have good but not great oral hygeine; I brush 1-2 times a day and go through phases of regular flossing and not flossing. I last visited the dentist 6 months ago and they said \"everything looks pretty good.\"","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.236314,0.763686],"probability":0.236314,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-27T02:00:51.280000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21698.075979904206,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.427391052246094,"liquidity":2175.0,"categories":["Health"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T17:41:01.558870Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T15:26:47.896950Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-get-any-new-cavities-after-a","event_title":"Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?","chart_24h":[0.236314,0.236314]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/f5zcF5iZUpKrcqmq5P2k","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:51:22.227850Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will I get any new cavities after applying the Lantern Bioworks strain to my teeth by 2026?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}