{"source":"manifold","id":"fJ6kkaTyNsTcmY8Sxjj0","ticker":null,"slug":"will-argentina-dolarize-its-economy","title":"Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?","description":"Context\n\nThe proposal to dolarize Argentina's economy has been brought to the forefront by presidential candidate Javier Milei. He argues that dolarization would end the country's inflation problem and proposes to demolish the Central Bank. However, economists and analysts have raised concerns about the feasibility, potential risks, and benefits of such a move. The political landscape, economic conditions, and social implications make this a complex and contentious issue.\n\nResolution Criteria\n\nThe prediction market will resolve in favor of \"Yes\" if Argentina officially adopts the U.S. dollar as its primary currency, replacing the Argentine peso, before the end of the year 2027.\n\nSources\n\nBBC News Mundo Article on Milei's Proposal","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FXURguO8mOd.png?alt=media&token=af218023-9a14-4181-96fb-bd83d7e72396","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-17T03:52:55.296000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T03:49:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39581.62095731527,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.06929397583008,"liquidity":644.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.135701,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?","top_outcome_probability":0.135701,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T14:30:41.934749Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T14:30:41.934749Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/will-argentina-dolarize-its-economy","chart_24h":[0.135701,0.135701],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"fJ6kkaTyNsTcmY8Sxjj0","event_id":"fJ6kkaTyNsTcmY8Sxjj0","slug":"will-argentina-dolarize-its-economy","question":"Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Context\n\nThe proposal to dolarize Argentina's economy has been brought to the forefront by presidential candidate Javier Milei. He argues that dolarization would end the country's inflation problem and proposes to demolish the Central Bank. However, economists and analysts have raised concerns about the feasibility, potential risks, and benefits of such a move. The political landscape, economic conditions, and social implications make this a complex and contentious issue.\n\nResolution Criteria\n\nThe prediction market will resolve in favor of \"Yes\" if Argentina officially adopts the U.S. dollar as its primary currency, replacing the Argentine peso, before the end of the year 2027.\n\nSources\n\nBBC News Mundo Article on Milei's Proposal","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FXURguO8mOd.png?alt=media&token=af218023-9a14-4181-96fb-bd83d7e72396","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.135701,0.864299],"probability":0.135701,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-17T03:52:55.296000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T03:49:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":39581.62095731527,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.06929397583008,"liquidity":644.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Argentina"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T14:28:46.186975Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/FranklinBaldo/will-argentina-dolarize-its-economy","event_title":"Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?","chart_24h":[0.135701,0.135701]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/fJ6kkaTyNsTcmY8Sxjj0","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:04:41.698713Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Argentina dollarize its economy before 2028?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}