{"source":"manifold","id":"g0zN5ghS90","ticker":null,"slug":"will-democrats-win-the-2026-wiscons","title":"Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?","description":"2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election - Wikipedia \n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T20:29:19.517000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40134.29306758739,"volume_24hr":547.27,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.038578033447266,"normalized_volume":41.44107437133789,"liquidity":10118.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.842796,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?","top_outcome_probability":0.842796,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0027960000000000207,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-988.1423824156664,"updated_at":"2026-10-03T19:48:06.210503Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T19:48:06.210503Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T05:19:46.289024Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-democrats-win-the-2026-wiscons","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"g0zN5ghS90","event_id":"g0zN5ghS90","slug":"will-democrats-win-the-2026-wiscons","question":"Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?","group_item_title":null,"description":"2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election - Wikipedia \n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.842796,0.157204],"probability":0.842796,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-08T20:29:19.517000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40134.29306758739,"volume_24hr":547.27,"prob_24h_change":0.0027960000000000207,"volume_24h_change":-988.1423824156664,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.73259353637695,"normalized_volume":41.44107437133789,"liquidity":10118.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T19:47:18.562629Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T19:47:18.562629Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T05:19:46.289024Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-democrats-win-the-2026-wiscons","event_title":"Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?","chart_24h":[0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796,0.842796]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/g0zN5ghS90","as_of":"2026-10-03T19:55:40.360903Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?\" — top market at 84% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}