{"source":"manifold","id":"gVRSBrYs2OclHp98ZMHE","ticker":null,"slug":"by-the-end-of-the-ukraine-war-crime","title":"By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?","description":"[image]","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FPGazjYWQVy.png?alt=media&token=c212f027-a121-41a5-b05b-b6655895dd43","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-01T17:54:18.556000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21448.96039298196,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.34093475341797,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.094584,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?","top_outcome_probability":0.094584,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T06:23:26.348045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T06:23:26.348045Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tobid/by-the-end-of-the-ukraine-war-crime","chart_24h":[0.094584,0.094584],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"gVRSBrYs2OclHp98ZMHE","event_id":"gVRSBrYs2OclHp98ZMHE","slug":"by-the-end-of-the-ukraine-war-crime","question":"By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?","group_item_title":null,"description":"[image]","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FPGazjYWQVy.png?alt=media&token=c212f027-a121-41a5-b05b-b6655895dd43","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.094584,0.905416],"probability":0.094584,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-01T17:54:18.556000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21448.96039298196,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.34093475341797,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Ukraine","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T06:21:01.702099Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tobid/by-the-end-of-the-ukraine-war-crime","event_title":"By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?","chart_24h":[0.094584,0.094584]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/gVRSBrYs2OclHp98ZMHE","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:46:03.268280Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?\" — top market at 9% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}