{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/gZ96pURhL5","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:09:54.551012Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?\" — 8% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/gZ96pURhL5","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Valerie/will-mitch-mcconnell-die-in-2026"},"source":"manifold","id":"gZ96pURhL5","ticker":null,"slug":"will-mitch-mcconnell-die-in-2026","title":"Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?","description":"Market resolves YES if Mitch McConnell dies before January 1st, 2027. Resolves NO if he doesn't. Will resolve based on credible news sources, of course. Must be confirmed.\n\nContext: McConnell is currently hospitalized due to \"flu-like symptoms\" (Source: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-mitch-mcconnell-hospitalized-after-experiencing-flu-symptoms/story?id=129834622). I will update this section when more information comes out.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-04T17:34:54.416000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8052.097369789222,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.75181007385254,"liquidity":100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.078424,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.078424,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T06:06:37.644410Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T06:06:37.644410Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T02:59:59.985393Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Valerie/will-mitch-mcconnell-die-in-2026","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"gZ96pURhL5","event_id":"gZ96pURhL5","slug":"will-mitch-mcconnell-die-in-2026","question":"Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Market resolves YES if Mitch McConnell dies before January 1st, 2027. Resolves NO if he doesn't. Will resolve based on credible news sources, of course. Must be confirmed.\n\nContext: McConnell is currently hospitalized due to \"flu-like symptoms\" (Source: https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-mitch-mcconnell-hospitalized-after-experiencing-flu-symptoms/story?id=129834622). I will update this section when more information comes out.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.078424,0.921576],"probability":0.078424,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-04T17:34:54.416000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8052.097369789222,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.75181007385254,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T06:05:54.359615Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T06:05:54.359615Z","added_at":"2026-07-08T02:59:59.985393Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Valerie/will-mitch-mcconnell-die-in-2026","event_title":"Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}