{"source":"manifold","id":"h6rzgBTrduiur5sNvKLE","ticker":null,"slug":"will-austin-chen-manifold-cofounder","title":"Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?","description":"Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Austin Chen (@Austin, cofounder of Manifold Markets) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.\n\nResolves \"No\" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.\n\nQuestion is global -- charges in any country count.\n\nCharges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.  As soon as there is an official felony charge, the question resolves \"Yes\".\n\nMinor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. \"felony\") crimes.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FalFSK9X4hX.png?alt=media&token=e7121cae-4855-47cb-8b3a-5099e67f72ab","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-11-19T03:41:45.111000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":47516.2923919671,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.53410339355469,"liquidity":1385.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.050989,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.050989,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ScroogeMcDuck/will-austin-chen-manifold-cofounder","chart_24h":[0.050989,0.050989],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"h6rzgBTrduiur5sNvKLE","event_id":"h6rzgBTrduiur5sNvKLE","slug":"will-austin-chen-manifold-cofounder","question":"Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves \"Yes\" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Austin Chen (@Austin, cofounder of Manifold Markets) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.\n\nResolves \"No\" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.\n\nQuestion is global -- charges in any country count.\n\nCharges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.  As soon as there is an official felony charge, the question resolves \"Yes\".\n\nMinor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. \"felony\") crimes.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FalFSK9X4hX.png?alt=media&token=e7121cae-4855-47cb-8b3a-5099e67f72ab","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.050989,0.949011],"probability":0.050989,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-11-19T03:41:45.111000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":47516.2923919671,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.53410339355469,"liquidity":1385.0,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ScroogeMcDuck/will-austin-chen-manifold-cofounder","event_title":"Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.050989,0.050989]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/h6rzgBTrduiur5sNvKLE","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:39:26.030884Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}