{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hII6EUzNlU","as_of":"2026-10-24T05:17:06.649581Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Fed decision in October?\" — \"No change\" leads at 92% across 3 outcomes as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hII6EUzNlU","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/fed-decision-in-october"},"source":"manifold","id":"hII6EUzNlU","ticker":"hII6EUzNlU","slug":"fed-decision-in-october","title":"Fed decision in October?","description":"This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the October 2026 FOMC meeting.\n\nThe outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.\n\nIf the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).\n\nResolution Sources:\n\nThe official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe Federal Reserve’s published target rate level and changes:\n\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the March FOMC statement is released.\n\nIf no statement is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the market resolves “No 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