{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hNNg0Pu280","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:34:44.766006Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?\" — 74% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hNNg0Pu280","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-miguel-diazcanel-be-leader-of"},"source":"manifold","id":"hNNg0Pu280","ticker":null,"slug":"will-miguel-diazcanel-be-leader-of","title":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?","description":"The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title. Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.\n\nIf there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus. I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T00:38:54.886000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32082.3389969276,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.59983825683594,"liquidity":2600.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.744947,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.744947,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T16:23:22.064858Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T16:23:22.064858Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-miguel-diazcanel-be-leader-of","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"hNNg0Pu280","event_id":"hNNg0Pu280","slug":"will-miguel-diazcanel-be-leader-of","question":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title. Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.\n\nIf there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus. I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.744947,0.255053],"probability":0.744947,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-09T00:38:54.886000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":32082.3389969276,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.59983825683594,"liquidity":2600.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Cuba"],"updated_at":"2026-10-20T16:21:04.065025Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T16:21:04.065025Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/will-miguel-diazcanel-be-leader-of","event_title":"Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?","chart_24h":null}]}