{"source":"manifold","id":"hSA0p9SEOz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-odyssey-surpass-deadpool-w","title":"Will \"The Odyssey\" surpass \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?","description":"According to BoxOfficeMojo, \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" holds the current record for worldwide gross for R-rated movies, with $1,338,073,645. \n\nThis market resolves YES if \"The Odyssey\" (2026) has worldwide gross >$1,338,073,645, and resolves NO otherwise. \n\nThe source used will be BoxOfficeMojo.\n\nI may resolve early if it is overwhelmingly likely that \"The Odyssey\" will not reach this threshold. This market does not cover future rereleases (but if it leaves theaters in one market and then returns, that's fine, as long as it's been in continuous release elsewhere and/or has not released in a major market yet). ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T19:06:43.418000Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17111.556877965148,"volume_24hr":5982.999999999994,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":63.90421676635742,"normalized_volume":35.619728088378906,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.982862,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will \"The Odyssey\" surpass \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?","top_outcome_probability":0.982862,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":4.000000000004e-6,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:02:41.101451Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:02:41.101451Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T15:37:05.002847Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-the-odyssey-surpass-deadpool-w","chart_24h":[0.982858,0.982858,0.982858,0.982858,0.982862,0.982862],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"hSA0p9SEOz","event_id":"hSA0p9SEOz","slug":"will-the-odyssey-surpass-deadpool-w","question":"Will \"The Odyssey\" surpass \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?","group_item_title":null,"description":"According to BoxOfficeMojo, \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" holds the current record for worldwide gross for R-rated movies, with $1,338,073,645. \n\nThis market resolves YES if \"The Odyssey\" (2026) has worldwide gross >$1,338,073,645, and resolves NO otherwise. \n\nThe source used will be BoxOfficeMojo.\n\nI may resolve early if it is overwhelmingly likely that \"The Odyssey\" will not reach this threshold. This market does not cover future rereleases (but if it leaves theaters in one market and then returns, that's fine, as long as it's been in continuous release elsewhere and/or has not released in a major market yet). ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.982862,0.017138],"probability":0.982862,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-27T19:06:43.418000Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17111.556877965148,"volume_24hr":5982.999999999994,"prob_24h_change":4.000000000004e-6,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":63.90421676635742,"normalized_volume":35.619728088378906,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T21:00:55.879674Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T21:00:55.879674Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T15:37:05.002847Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-the-odyssey-surpass-deadpool-w","event_title":"Will \"The Odyssey\" surpass \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?","chart_24h":[0.982858,0.982858,0.982858,0.982858,0.982862,0.982862]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hSA0p9SEOz","as_of":"2026-08-14T21:16:16.561220Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will \"The Odyssey\" surpass \"Deadpool & Wolverine\" as the highest grossing R-rated movie of all time?\" — top market at 98% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}