{"source":"manifold","id":"hpPUnU2yyp","ticker":null,"slug":"canada-officially-joins-the-united","title":"Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.","description":"I've heard rumors and that was enough to get me here to make a market.\n\n\nThen I saw this (after I made the market, lol)\nhttps://x.com/farzyness/status/1866121558898393343\n\nI'm going out on a major limb and taking the yes side of this and going Plus on the market because I like long-shots and I know there's going to be a lot of 'No' action.\n\nThis resolves to 'Yes' if a deal is struck (it doesn't have to be fully implemented) by the end of the Trump admin.\n\nI say \"end of Trump admin\" because this would resolve to 'Yes' if, God forbid, Trump were not able to continue as the President, but say J.D. Vance or another person took over in his stead. \n\nSo long as the annexation of Canada is complete as a signed agreement by both parties and voted upon by the citizens (if needed) to make it official, before the Trump admin leaves office, this resolves to 'Yes'\n\nIf Canada retains their sovereignty past inaguration day for the next presidential administration, which should be 1/20/2029, then this market will resolve to 'No' \n\nThis AI clarification is correct. ~ Author.\n\nPossible clarification from creator (AI generated):\n\nThe market will resolve based on the presidential inauguration date, even if that date changes from January 20, 2029\n\nMust include all of Canada, not just individual provinces\n\nResolves to No if:\n\nAmerica joins under Canadian rule\n\nBoth countries dissolve into something else or smaller factions","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/RJDoesIt_/Pg02dEdstl.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-09T14:11:25.619000Z","end_date":"2029-01-21T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40728.358304346526,"volume_24hr":30.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.000883102416992,"normalized_volume":42.26933288574219,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.","top_outcome_probability":0.01,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:48:37.432794Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T20:48:37.432794Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/AmericanPirate/canada-officially-joins-the-united","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"hpPUnU2yyp","event_id":"hpPUnU2yyp","slug":"canada-officially-joins-the-united","question":"Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.","group_item_title":null,"description":"I've heard rumors and that was enough to get me here to make a market.\n\n\nThen I saw this (after I made the market, lol)\nhttps://x.com/farzyness/status/1866121558898393343\n\nI'm going out on a major limb and taking the yes side of this and going Plus on the market because I like long-shots and I know there's going to be a lot of 'No' action.\n\nThis resolves to 'Yes' if a deal is struck (it doesn't have to be fully implemented) by the end of the Trump admin.\n\nI say \"end of Trump admin\" because this would resolve to 'Yes' if, God forbid, Trump were not able to continue as the President, but say J.D. Vance or another person took over in his stead. \n\nSo long as the annexation of Canada is complete as a signed agreement by both parties and voted upon by the citizens (if needed) to make it official, before the Trump admin leaves office, this resolves to 'Yes'\n\nIf Canada retains their sovereignty past inaguration day for the next presidential administration, which should be 1/20/2029, then this market will resolve to 'No' \n\nThis AI clarification is correct. ~ Author.\n\nPossible clarification from creator (AI generated):\n\nThe market will resolve based on the presidential inauguration date, even if that date changes from January 20, 2029\n\nMust include all of Canada, not just individual provinces\n\nResolves to No if:\n\nAmerica joins under Canadian rule\n\nBoth countries dissolve into something else or smaller factions","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/RJDoesIt_/Pg02dEdstl.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-09T14:11:25.619000Z","end_date":"2029-01-21T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40728.358304346526,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.000883102416992,"normalized_volume":42.26933288574219,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Canada","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:47:57.471206Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T20:47:57.471206Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/AmericanPirate/canada-officially-joins-the-united","event_title":"Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hpPUnU2yyp","as_of":"2026-07-12T20:55:52.189828Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Canada officially joins the United States before Trump's admin leaves power.\" — top market at 1% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}