{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hq8A8g8tQ0","as_of":"2026-10-24T06:09:55.304133Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump get a third term in office?\" — 5% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/hq8A8g8tQ0","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/gallerdude/will-trump-get-a-third-term-in-offi"},"source":"manifold","id":"hq8A8g8tQ0","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-get-a-third-term-in-offi","title":"Will Trump get a third term in office?","description":"Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.\n\nFor the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-21T19:45:19.880000Z","end_date":"2040-01-29T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26983.54054890412,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.28981018066406,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.049067,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump get a third term in office?","top_outcome_probability":0.049067,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/gallerdude/will-trump-get-a-third-term-in-offi","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"hq8A8g8tQ0","event_id":"hq8A8g8tQ0","slug":"will-trump-get-a-third-term-in-offi","question":"Will Trump get a third term in office?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.\n\nFor the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.049067,0.950933],"probability":0.049067,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-21T19:45:19.880000Z","end_date":"2040-01-29T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":26983.54054890412,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.28981018066406,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/gallerdude/will-trump-get-a-third-term-in-offi","event_title":"Will Trump get a third term in office?","chart_24h":null}]}