{"source":"manifold","id":"i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","title":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","description":"Criteria for Resolution:\n\n1. Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI. \n\n2. Confirmation of Intent:\n\n   - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.\n\n   - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.\n\n3. Nature of the Operation:\n\n   - The operation must involve direct terrorist actions, such as strikes, sabotage, or cyber-attacks targeting OpenAI research facilities, data centers, or key infrastructure related to AI development. \n\n   - Operations solely involving espionage, intelligence gathering, or sanctions do not qualify. There must be at least one OpenAI employee death to qualify. ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-01T14:14:16.355000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7471.645380604807,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.829029083251953,"liquidity":2500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.262312,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.262312,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:06:39.460653Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:06:39.460653Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","chart_24h":[0.262312,0.262312],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","event_id":"i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","slug":"will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","question":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Criteria for Resolution:\n\n1. Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI. \n\n2. Confirmation of Intent:\n\n   - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.\n\n   - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.\n\n3. Nature of the Operation:\n\n   - The operation must involve direct terrorist actions, such as strikes, sabotage, or cyber-attacks targeting OpenAI research facilities, data centers, or key infrastructure related to AI development. \n\n   - Operations solely involving espionage, intelligence gathering, or sanctions do not qualify. There must be at least one OpenAI employee death to qualify. ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.262312,0.737688],"probability":0.262312,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-01T14:14:16.355000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7471.645380604807,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.829029083251953,"liquidity":2500.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:07:06.523099Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:05:46.285367Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","event_title":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.262312,0.262312]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:01:02.513325Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?\" — top market at 26% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}