{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","as_of":"2026-10-24T08:22:25.709936Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?\" — 17% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag"},"source":"manifold","id":"i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","title":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","description":"Criteria for Resolution:\n\n1. Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI. \n\n2. Confirmation of Intent:\n\n   - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.\n\n   - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.\n\n3. Nature of the Operation:\n\n   - The operation must involve direct terrorist actions, such as strikes, sabotage, or cyber-attacks targeting OpenAI research facilities, data centers, or key infrastructure related to AI development. \n\n   - Operations solely involving espionage, intelligence gathering, or sanctions do not qualify. There must be at least one OpenAI employee death to qualify. ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-01T14:14:16.355000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8875.750987579751,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.399560928344727,"liquidity":2500.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.167455,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.167455,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","event_id":"i57b1Cjvm2Z0qvgqx9Fz","slug":"will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","question":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Criteria for Resolution:\n\n1. Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI. \n\n2. Confirmation of Intent:\n\n   - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.\n\n   - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.\n\n3. Nature of the Operation:\n\n   - The operation must involve direct terrorist actions, such as strikes, sabotage, or cyber-attacks targeting OpenAI research facilities, data centers, or key infrastructure related to AI development. \n\n   - Operations solely involving espionage, intelligence gathering, or sanctions do not qualify. There must be at least one OpenAI employee death to qualify. ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.167455,0.832545],"probability":0.167455,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-01T14:14:16.355000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T16:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8875.750987579751,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.399560928344727,"liquidity":2500.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bandors/will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ag","event_title":"Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?","chart_24h":null}]}