{"source":"manifold","id":"iQhvjJCZS67hBlxCP5uM","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-democrat-win-the-2028-presid-eaef7907d149","title":"Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?","description":"Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college. Resolves no if a Republican or third party is inaugurated instead.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-14T09:08:32.114000Z","end_date":"2029-02-22T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9230.992848334268,"volume_24hr":407.9861407560508,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.24419403076172,"normalized_volume":30.87295150756836,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["us-politics","politics-default","2024-us-presidential-election"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.656287,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?","top_outcome_probability":0.656287,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.0037130000000000773,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":6.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:43:54.930170Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:43:54.930170Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T14:42:03.783843Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/DanW/will-a-democrat-win-the-2028-presid-eaef7907d149","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.657523,0.656287,0.656287,0.656287],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"iQhvjJCZS67hBlxCP5uM","event_id":"iQhvjJCZS67hBlxCP5uM","slug":"will-a-democrat-win-the-2028-presid-eaef7907d149","question":"Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college. Resolves no if a Republican or third party is inaugurated instead.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.656287,0.343713],"probability":0.656287,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-14T09:08:32.114000Z","end_date":"2029-02-22T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9230.992848334268,"volume_24hr":407.9861407560508,"prob_24h_change":-0.0037130000000000773,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.236717224121094,"normalized_volume":30.87295150756836,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:43:26.208502Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:43:26.208502Z","added_at":"2026-06-30T14:42:03.783843Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/DanW/will-a-democrat-win-the-2028-presid-eaef7907d149","event_title":"Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.657523,0.656287,0.656287,0.656287]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/iQhvjJCZS67hBlxCP5uM","as_of":"2026-09-08T21:56:16.899651Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?\" — top market at 66% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}