{"source":"manifold","id":"iUTEV9gX3TEbhvak2jYL","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1","title":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?","description":"Resolution Criteria -\n\n(1) Major publication of record reporting - NYTimes / Financial Times / Wall Street Journal / Etc\n\n(2) Should it be mathmatically demonstrable (ie, shares reported in latest SC 13G/A multiplied by current stock price, etc)\n\n(3) Elon's Death - Upon his death if to that point the market has not resolved 'YES' already, it will resolve 'NO'.\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-20T19:29:16.868000Z","end_date":"2071-06-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86994.50125671893,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.561119079589844,"liquidity":1220.25,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.972272,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?","top_outcome_probability":0.972272,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T21:52:13.078605Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T21:52:13.078605Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/robotnik/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1","chart_24h":[0.972272,0.972272],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"iUTEV9gX3TEbhvak2jYL","event_id":"iUTEV9gX3TEbhvak2jYL","slug":"will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1","question":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolution Criteria -\n\n(1) Major publication of record reporting - NYTimes / Financial Times / Wall Street Journal / Etc\n\n(2) Should it be mathmatically demonstrable (ie, shares reported in latest SC 13G/A multiplied by current stock price, etc)\n\n(3) Elon's Death - Upon his death if to that point the market has not resolved 'YES' already, it will resolve 'NO'.\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.972272,0.027728],"probability":0.972272,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-20T19:29:16.868000Z","end_date":"2071-06-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":86994.50125671893,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.561119079589844,"liquidity":1220.25,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T21:50:05.343385Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/robotnik/will-elon-musk-be-worth-more-than-1","event_title":"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?","chart_24h":[0.972272,0.972272]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/iUTEV9gX3TEbhvak2jYL","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:28:48.957209Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?\" — top market at 97% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}