{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/jZ5DuFDLvYAggOioIZ8v","as_of":"2026-10-24T04:13:01.151273Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?\" — 92% as of 2026-06-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/jZ5DuFDLvYAggOioIZ8v","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2033-will-at-least"},"source":"manifold","id":"jZ5DuFDLvYAggOioIZ8v","ticker":null,"slug":"by-the-start-of-2033-will-at-least","title":"By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?","description":null,"image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F6-xGwyeo3A.png?alt=media&token=07549595-707e-4dfe-851c-46dfc6e3d842","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-11-26T05:59:12.267000Z","end_date":"2032-12-31T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9935.118309020057,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.16293716430664,"liquidity":1470.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Other"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.9198,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?","top_outcome_probability":0.9198,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2033-will-at-least","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"jZ5DuFDLvYAggOioIZ8v","event_id":"jZ5DuFDLvYAggOioIZ8v","slug":"by-the-start-of-2033-will-at-least","question":"By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2F6-xGwyeo3A.png?alt=media&token=07549595-707e-4dfe-851c-46dfc6e3d842","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.9198,0.0802],"probability":0.9198,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-11-26T05:59:12.267000Z","end_date":"2032-12-31T19:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":9935.118309020057,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.16293716430664,"liquidity":1470.0,"categories":["Other"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2033-will-at-least","event_title":"By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?","chart_24h":null}]}