{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/kPhFNfr0gJ19hLI1bIKW","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:26:20.308046Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?\" — 56% as of 2026-09-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/kPhFNfr0gJ19hLI1bIKW","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-elon-musk-be-the-richest-perso-abdab4df3a2e"},"source":"manifold","id":"kPhFNfr0gJ19hLI1bIKW","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-musk-be-the-richest-perso-abdab4df3a2e","title":"Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?","description":"Resolves Yes if Elon Musk is the richest person in the world according to Forbes:\n\nhttps://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/\n\nIf Forbes doesn’t exist it will be based on popular reporting of the matter. \n\nResolves No otherwise","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/GabeGarboden%2Fd972374d590b.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-04T23:19:18.752000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7157.624795343231,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.98233413696289,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.557025,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.557025,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T17:38:25.403128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T17:38:25.403128Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-elon-musk-be-the-richest-perso-abdab4df3a2e","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"kPhFNfr0gJ19hLI1bIKW","event_id":"kPhFNfr0gJ19hLI1bIKW","slug":"will-elon-musk-be-the-richest-perso-abdab4df3a2e","question":"Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves Yes if Elon Musk is the richest person in the world according to Forbes:\n\nhttps://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/\n\nIf Forbes doesn’t exist it will be based on popular reporting of the matter. \n\nResolves No otherwise","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/GabeGarboden%2Fd972374d590b.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.557025,0.442975],"probability":0.557025,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-04T23:19:18.752000Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":7157.624795343231,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.98233413696289,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T17:36:16.809040Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T17:36:16.809040Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-elon-musk-be-the-richest-perso-abdab4df3a2e","event_title":"Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2030?","chart_24h":null}]}