{"source":"manifold","id":"l50gEPp5sC","ticker":null,"slug":"will-donald-trump-be-impeached-and","title":"Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?","description":"This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.\n\nFor that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict Donald Trump by 2/3rds majority. A vote to convict immediately removes the President.\n\nThis question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2029, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation).","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/cash/Z0uys20Sgh.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T18:51:18.758000Z","end_date":"2029-01-22T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50072.46124738073,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.958866119384766,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.058208,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?","top_outcome_probability":0.058208,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T04:08:55.249017Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T04:08:55.249017Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-donald-trump-be-impeached-and","chart_24h":[0.058208,0.058208],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"l50gEPp5sC","event_id":"l50gEPp5sC","slug":"will-donald-trump-be-impeached-and","question":"Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.\n\nFor that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict Donald Trump by 2/3rds majority. A vote to convict immediately removes the President.\n\nThis question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2029, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation).","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/cash/Z0uys20Sgh.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.058208,0.941792],"probability":0.058208,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-06T18:51:18.758000Z","end_date":"2029-01-22T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50072.46124738073,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":43.958866119384766,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T04:08:05.779290Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-donald-trump-be-impeached-and","event_title":"Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?","chart_24h":[0.058208,0.058208]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/l50gEPp5sC","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:00:51.029862Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}