{"source":"manifold","id":"lLNLURctA2","ticker":null,"slug":"will-waymo-one-expand-its-sf-bay-ar","title":"Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market predicts whether Waymo will extend its ride-hailing service to include any part of Marin County.\n\nResolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if Waymo officially announces or launches service in any part of Marin County before the end date. Market resolves NO if no such expansion occurs by the end date.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:\n\nPartial Coverage: Full coverage of Marin County is not required; availability in any part of the county is sufficient.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Putcallparity/82yPz0QQq5.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-03T21:53:47.886000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9748.285833483089,"volume_24hr":1998.539747454202,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.60302734375,"normalized_volume":31.658771514892578,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["san-francisco","selfdriving-vehicles","technology-default","tesla","waymo"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.554606,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.554606,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.104298,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1998.539747454202,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:19:46.249394Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:19:46.249394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Putcallparity/will-waymo-one-expand-its-sf-bay-ar","chart_24h":[0.658904,0.658904,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"lLNLURctA2","event_id":"lLNLURctA2","slug":"will-waymo-one-expand-its-sf-bay-ar","question":"Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market predicts whether Waymo will extend its ride-hailing service to include any part of Marin County.\n\nResolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if Waymo officially announces or launches service in any part of Marin County before the end date. Market resolves NO if no such expansion occurs by the end date.\n\nUpdate 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Resolution Criteria:\n\nPartial Coverage: Full coverage of Marin County is not required; availability in any part of the county is sufficient.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Putcallparity/82yPz0QQq5.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.554606,0.445394],"probability":0.554606,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-01-03T21:53:47.886000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9748.285833483089,"volume_24hr":1998.539747454202,"prob_24h_change":-0.104298,"volume_24h_change":1998.539747454202,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.60302734375,"normalized_volume":31.658771514892578,"liquidity":10000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T06:19:15.046088Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T06:19:15.046088Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Putcallparity/will-waymo-one-expand-its-sf-bay-ar","event_title":"Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.658904,0.658904,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606,0.554606]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/lLNLURctA2","as_of":"2026-06-21T06:41:02.447237Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?\" — top market at 55% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}