{"source":"manifold","id":"lUZch5zqZu","ticker":null,"slug":"will-venezuela-become-more-authorit-55hEzs2ls9","title":"Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?","description":"This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Venezuela's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report (which has yet to be published, but should come out in early 2026).\n\n\nIf Venezuela's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.\n\nSee also:\n\n@/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh \n\n🇺‍🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari \n\n🇺‍🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y \n\n🇨🇳 @/cash/will-china-become-more-authoritaria-tQRh2Cq2Rq \n\n🇷‍🇺  @/cash/will-russia-become-more-authoritari-IdZ9S8n2OC \n\n🇩‍🇪 @/cash/will-germany-become-more-authoritar-2yzt80C9Ed \n\n🇮‍🇳 @/cash/will-india-become-more-authoritaria-stcugnnShp \n\n🇬‍🇧 @/cash/will-the-united-kingdom-become-more-RttphEh6ud \n\n🇫‍🇷  @/cash/will-france-become-more-authoritari-06qZItS55S \n\n🇨‍🇦 @/cash/will-canada-become-more-authoritari-yCclsR29cz \n\n🇺‍🇦 @/cash/will-ukraine-become-more-authoritar-8tlNEgnpyI \n\n🇮‍🇱 @/cash/will-israel-become-more-authoritari-CuIZNEQL8O \n\n🇹🇷 @/cash/will-turkey-become-more-authoritari-UhPcCICSps \n\n🇵‍🇱 @/cash/will-poland-become-more-authoritari-dlShlu0Ih5 \n\n🇦‍🇷 @/cash/will-argentina-become-more-authorit-ySct8hSZOz \n\n🇿‍🇦 @/cash/will-south-africa-become-more-autho-uhLnQ6Zq90 \n\n🇲‍🇽 @/cash/will-mexico-become-more-authoritari-q6pQlLttpt \n\n🇵‍🇰 @/cash/will-pakistan-become-more-authorita-Zyp086uApR\n\n🇮‍🇷 @/cash/will-iran-become-more-authoritarian-dq20gc8u2I \n\n🇯🇵 @/cash/will-japan-become-more-authoritaria-NQQs2s0PEs \n\n🇰🇷 @/cash/will-south-korea-become-more-author-zsypSd8Eu2 \n\n🇻‍🇪 @/cash/will-venezuela-become-more-authorit-55hEzs2ls9 (this question)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T05:55:17.818000Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23664.50963216487,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.08039474487305,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.188274,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.188274,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-venezuela-become-more-authorit-55hEzs2ls9","chart_24h":[0.188274,0.188274],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"lUZch5zqZu","event_id":"lUZch5zqZu","slug":"will-venezuela-become-more-authorit-55hEzs2ls9","question":"Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Venezuela's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report (which has yet to be published, but should come out in early 2026).\n\n\nIf Venezuela's democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.\n\nSee also:\n\n@/cash/will-the-world-become-more-authorit-2R20yhg9dh \n\n🇺‍🇸 @/cash/will-the-us-become-more-authoritari \n\n🇺‍🇸 @/cash/will-the-united-states-become-more-QNC56OL95y \n\n🇨🇳 @/cash/will-china-become-more-authoritaria-tQRh2Cq2Rq \n\n🇷‍🇺  @/cash/will-russia-become-more-authoritari-IdZ9S8n2OC \n\n🇩‍🇪 @/cash/will-germany-become-more-authoritar-2yzt80C9Ed \n\n🇮‍🇳 @/cash/will-india-become-more-authoritaria-stcugnnShp \n\n🇬‍🇧 @/cash/will-the-united-kingdom-become-more-RttphEh6ud \n\n🇫‍🇷  @/cash/will-france-become-more-authoritari-06qZItS55S \n\n🇨‍🇦 @/cash/will-canada-become-more-authoritari-yCclsR29cz \n\n🇺‍🇦 @/cash/will-ukraine-become-more-authoritar-8tlNEgnpyI \n\n🇮‍🇱 @/cash/will-israel-become-more-authoritari-CuIZNEQL8O \n\n🇹🇷 @/cash/will-turkey-become-more-authoritari-UhPcCICSps \n\n🇵‍🇱 @/cash/will-poland-become-more-authoritari-dlShlu0Ih5 \n\n🇦‍🇷 @/cash/will-argentina-become-more-authorit-ySct8hSZOz \n\n🇿‍🇦 @/cash/will-south-africa-become-more-autho-uhLnQ6Zq90 \n\n🇲‍🇽 @/cash/will-mexico-become-more-authoritari-q6pQlLttpt \n\n🇵‍🇰 @/cash/will-pakistan-become-more-authorita-Zyp086uApR\n\n🇮‍🇷 @/cash/will-iran-become-more-authoritarian-dq20gc8u2I \n\n🇯🇵 @/cash/will-japan-become-more-authoritaria-NQQs2s0PEs \n\n🇰🇷 @/cash/will-south-korea-become-more-author-zsypSd8Eu2 \n\n🇻‍🇪 @/cash/will-venezuela-become-more-authorit-55hEzs2ls9 (this question)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.188274,0.811726],"probability":0.188274,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T05:55:17.818000Z","end_date":"2027-03-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23664.50963216487,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":38.08039474487305,"liquidity":2000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T12:51:47.972549Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/cash/will-venezuela-become-more-authorit-55hEzs2ls9","event_title":"Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.188274,0.188274]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/lUZch5zqZu","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:01:39.658458Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?\" — top market at 19% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}