{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:10:38.453276Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?\" — \"The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first\" leads at 54% across 2 outcomes as of 2026-05-05 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/themightysalmon/will-the-moon-get-a-time-zone-befor"},"source":"manifold","id":"lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj","ticker":"lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj","slug":"will-the-moon-get-a-time-zone-befor","title":"Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?","description":"ESA has expressed interest in having a coordinated time on the moon, as highlighted in this market: https://manifold.markets/Ernie/will-the-moon-have-its-own-time-zon?r=dGhlbWlnaHR5c2FsbW9u\n\nCurrently on the Earth, there are 38 different offsets from UTC in use**, with the most recent change occurring in 2015 (one was lost).\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_zone\n\n**The number 38 represents the number of different \"Standard Times\". I will ignore Daylight Savings/Summer time for the purposes of resolving the market.\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-18T05:15:18.278000Z","end_date":"2050-03-25T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4177.039353649922,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.555370330810547,"liquidity":1385.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":["timekeeping","space","technology-default","science-default"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first","top_outcome_probability":0.54,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.348476Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.348476Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/themightysalmon/will-the-moon-get-a-time-zone-befor","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"d78e98ffd749","event_id":"lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj","slug":null,"question":"The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first","group_item_title":"The Earth will gain or lose a time zone first","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.46],"probability":0.54,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-18T05:15:18.278000Z","end_date":"2050-03-25T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":50.00000000000001,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T08:03:00.266545Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T08:01:54.334866Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/themightysalmon/will-the-moon-get-a-time-zone-befor","event_title":"Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?","chart_24h":[0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"manifold","id":"513369820c80","event_id":"lYLWiwlFvmVqmaMBlYMj","slug":null,"question":"The Moon will get a time zone first","group_item_title":"The Moon will get a time zone first","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-03-18T05:15:18.278000Z","end_date":"2050-03-25T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":96.0093322763058,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.693889141082764,"liquidity":1235.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T08:03:00.266545Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T08:01:54.334866Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/themightysalmon/will-the-moon-get-a-time-zone-befor","event_title":"Will the Moon get a time zone before the Earth gains or loses a time zone?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46]}]}