{"source":"manifold","id":"lbwk3oakv6","ticker":null,"slug":"will-kamala-harris-be-the-first-wom","title":"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?","description":"If elected or the president dying while she is vice president and then being approved as President, this resolves yes \n\nif she wins the 2028 election this resolves YES","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/strutheo/7dgnmg50l2.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-06T21:12:42.006000Z","end_date":"2028-07-14T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28271.926397585867,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.43722915649414,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.033856,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?","top_outcome_probability":0.033856,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-kamala-harris-be-the-first-wom","chart_24h":[0.033856,0.033856],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"lbwk3oakv6","event_id":"lbwk3oakv6","slug":"will-kamala-harris-be-the-first-wom","question":"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?","group_item_title":null,"description":"If elected or the president dying while she is vice president and then being approved as President, this resolves yes \n\nif she wins the 2028 election this resolves YES","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/strutheo/7dgnmg50l2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.033856,0.966144],"probability":0.033856,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-06T21:12:42.006000Z","end_date":"2028-07-14T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28271.926397585867,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.43722915649414,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:27:14.571814Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T04:44:55.833398Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/will-kamala-harris-be-the-first-wom","event_title":"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?","chart_24h":[0.033856,0.033856]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/lbwk3oakv6","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:05:29.350280Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}