{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/m04EtPbqEO4mRerLmz8p","as_of":"2026-10-24T15:10:06.910065Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?\" — 13% as of 2026-10-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/m04EtPbqEO4mRerLmz8p","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Skittercat/will-elon-muskx-prevail-in-a-lawsui"},"source":"manifold","id":"m04EtPbqEO4mRerLmz8p","ticker":null,"slug":"will-elon-muskx-prevail-in-a-lawsui","title":"Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?","description":"Elon Musk has stated that X Corp (formerly Twitter) will be filing a \"thermonuclear lawsuit\" against Media Matters on Monday, November 20th.\n\n[image]This question will resolve as follows:\n\nIf the parties settle out of court with Media Matters making a substantial payment (>$1 million) to Musk/X, it resolves as YES.\n\nIn the case of a smaller settlement (e.g. retraction/apology without payment), I will resolve as N/A; for the purposes of this question, I don't consider Media Matters caving to the threat of a lawsuit to count as Musk/X prevailing in court, unless it comes with a substantial settlement.\n\nIf there is no lawsuit filed by 2024-02-29, or if Musk/X clearly state before that date that they will not be filing a suit, it resolves as NO.\n\nIf the case goes to court, the question resolves at the close of the lawsuit, based on who wins.\n\nI will not participate in this market.\n\nUpdated 2023-12-12: Pushed out the close date to EOY 2024 since the lawsuit has actually been filed now.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-20T06:42:25.950000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7996.306661781851,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.705833435058594,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.13,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?","top_outcome_probability":0.13,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:16:11.332414Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Skittercat/will-elon-muskx-prevail-in-a-lawsui","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"m04EtPbqEO4mRerLmz8p","event_id":"m04EtPbqEO4mRerLmz8p","slug":"will-elon-muskx-prevail-in-a-lawsui","question":"Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Elon Musk has stated that X Corp (formerly Twitter) will be filing a \"thermonuclear lawsuit\" against Media Matters on Monday, November 20th.\n\n[image]This question will resolve as follows:\n\nIf the parties settle out of court with Media Matters making a substantial payment (>$1 million) to Musk/X, it resolves as YES.\n\nIn the case of a smaller settlement (e.g. retraction/apology without payment), I will resolve as N/A; for the purposes of this question, I don't consider Media Matters caving to the threat of a lawsuit to count as Musk/X prevailing in court, unless it comes with a substantial settlement.\n\nIf there is no lawsuit filed by 2024-02-29, or if Musk/X clearly state before that date that they will not be filing a suit, it resolves as NO.\n\nIf the case goes to court, the question resolves at the close of the lawsuit, based on who wins.\n\nI will not participate in this market.\n\nUpdated 2023-12-12: Pushed out the close date to EOY 2024 since the lawsuit has actually been filed now.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-11-20T06:42:25.950000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":7996.306661781851,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.705833435058594,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-11T08:15:30.972810Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Skittercat/will-elon-muskx-prevail-in-a-lawsui","event_title":"Will Elon Musk/X prevail in a lawsuit against Media Matters?","chart_24h":null}]}