{"source":"manifold","id":"mZ3tlpO2qt5lX1IUBRbP","ticker":null,"slug":"will-astronauts-walk-on-the-moon-be","title":"Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.","description":"Artemis 3 is planned to launch in December 2025.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-09T01:43:53.136000Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19687.957817351184,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.702171325683594,"liquidity":1015.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.","top_outcome_probability":0.01,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ChadwickMiller/will-astronauts-walk-on-the-moon-be","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"mZ3tlpO2qt5lX1IUBRbP","event_id":"mZ3tlpO2qt5lX1IUBRbP","slug":"will-astronauts-walk-on-the-moon-be","question":"Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.","group_item_title":null,"description":"Artemis 3 is planned to launch in December 2025.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-09T01:43:53.136000Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19687.957817351184,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.702171325683594,"liquidity":1015.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ChadwickMiller/will-astronauts-walk-on-the-moon-be","event_title":"Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/mZ3tlpO2qt5lX1IUBRbP","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:43:43.387308Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Astronauts walk on the moon before the end of 2026.\" — top market at 1% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}