{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/n00puZUNOA","as_of":"2026-11-08T22:56:01.333062Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?\" — 2% as of 2026-11-08 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/n00puZUNOA","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/MattF/will-the-dome-of-the-rock-in-jerusa"},"source":"manifold","id":"n00puZUNOA","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-dome-of-the-rock-in-jerusa","title":"Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?","description":"https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1grebbq/mmw_maga_will_allow_netenyahu_to_make_israel/\n\n[image]Yes:\n\nThe Dome of the Rock structure on the Temple Mount in Jerusalem is physically destroyed, demolished, or removed.\n\nThe destruction is confirmed by multiple reputable international news sources and organizations.\n\nThe destruction occurs before Netanyahu's current term as Prime Minister of Israel ends, either through completion of his term or early elections.\n\nNo:\n\nThe Dome of the Rock remains intact and standing on the Temple Mount at the end of Netanyahu's current term.\n\nAny damage to the structure does not result in its complete destruction or removal.\n\nNetanyahu's term ends (either through completion or early elections) with the Dome of the Rock still standing.\n\nN/A:\n\nNetanyahu's term ends prematurely due to unforeseen circumstances (e.g., resignation, incapacitation, or removal from office) before the status of the Dome of the Rock can be determined.\n\nA major geopolitical event or conflict prevents clear determination of the Dome of the Rock's status.\n\nThe political landscape in Israel changes significantly, making it impossible to define the end of Netanyahu's \"current term\" (e.g., formation of a new coalition government without clear continuation of the current term).\n\nInternational intervention or legal action prevents a conclusive assessment of the Dome of the Rock's status by the end of Netanyahu's term.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/MattF/SLU8LR8UE2.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T06:24:33.769000Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":103974.10291386892,"volume_24hr":15550.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":66.15733337402344,"normalized_volume":49.0522575378418,"liquidity":10000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.024057,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?","top_outcome_probability":0.024057,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-08T22:39:34.018374Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-08T22:39:34.018374Z","added_at":"2026-11-08T21:51:33.913561Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/MattF/will-the-dome-of-the-rock-in-jerusa","chart_24h":[0.024057,0.024057],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"n00puZUNOA","event_id":"n00puZUNOA","slug":"will-the-dome-of-the-rock-in-jerusa","question":"Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?","group_item_title":null,"description":"https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1grebbq/mmw_maga_will_allow_netenyahu_to_make_israel/\n\n[image]Yes:\n\nThe Dome of the Rock structure on the Temple Mount in Jerusalem is physically destroyed, demolished, or removed.\n\nThe destruction is confirmed by multiple reputable international news sources and organizations.\n\nThe destruction occurs before Netanyahu's current term as Prime Minister of Israel ends, either through completion of his term or early elections.\n\nNo:\n\nThe Dome of the Rock remains intact and standing on the Temple Mount at the end of Netanyahu's current term.\n\nAny damage to the structure does not result in its complete destruction or removal.\n\nNetanyahu's term ends (either through completion or early elections) with the Dome of the Rock still standing.\n\nN/A:\n\nNetanyahu's term ends prematurely due to unforeseen circumstances (e.g., resignation, incapacitation, or removal from office) before the status of the Dome of the Rock can be determined.\n\nA major geopolitical event or conflict prevents clear determination of the Dome of the Rock's status.\n\nThe political landscape in Israel changes significantly, making it impossible to define the end of Netanyahu's \"current term\" (e.g., formation of a new coalition government without clear continuation of the current term).\n\nInternational intervention or legal action prevents a conclusive assessment of the Dome of the Rock's status by the end of Netanyahu's term.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/MattF/SLU8LR8UE2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.024057,0.975943],"probability":0.024057,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T06:24:33.769000Z","end_date":"2026-11-12T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":103974.10291386892,"volume_24hr":15550.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":81.82290649414062,"normalized_volume":49.0522575378418,"liquidity":10000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-08T22:38:36.612590Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-08T22:38:36.612590Z","added_at":"2026-11-08T21:51:33.913561Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/MattF/will-the-dome-of-the-rock-in-jerusa","event_title":"Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?","chart_24h":[0.024057,0.024057]}]}