{"source":"manifold","id":"ngT6WlLtOcmqpAyk8OjM","ticker":null,"slug":"will-we-have-a-decent-end-to-end-ai-6efae514631f","title":"Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?","description":"@firstuserhere made an interesting market series here but the resolution criteria are very forgiving. This market attempts to answer the same question with less degrees of freedom. \n\nMarket Resolves YES Requirements:\n- All relevant aspects are AI generated: Script, animation, music, art, voices, sounds, etc. \n- One coherent storyline that goes across 3+ episodes. \n- Episodes are at least 20 minutes in length. \n- Quality: I personally consider the quality decent or reasonable. \n- Characters express movement and animation consistent with anime that would be aired on Crunchyroll. (not neccessarily big budget)\n- Primarily uses 2D animation style. 3D models do not count. \n- Should appear to have a standard \"anime\" style. \n\nIf the above are not met this market resolves NO. \n\nI will NOT bet in this market. \nI plan to resolve based on the spirit of the question.\n\n(I will slowly be making a series of these with different timelines)","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-04T21:54:11.369000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12511.53729406279,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.4139289855957,"liquidity":1020.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.720242,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?","top_outcome_probability":0.720242,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SneakySly/will-we-have-a-decent-end-to-end-ai-6efae514631f","chart_24h":[0.720242,0.720242],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"ngT6WlLtOcmqpAyk8OjM","event_id":"ngT6WlLtOcmqpAyk8OjM","slug":"will-we-have-a-decent-end-to-end-ai-6efae514631f","question":"Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?","group_item_title":null,"description":"@firstuserhere made an interesting market series here but the resolution criteria are very forgiving. This market attempts to answer the same question with less degrees of freedom. \n\nMarket Resolves YES Requirements:\n- All relevant aspects are AI generated: Script, animation, music, art, voices, sounds, etc. \n- One coherent storyline that goes across 3+ episodes. \n- Episodes are at least 20 minutes in length. \n- Quality: I personally consider the quality decent or reasonable. \n- Characters express movement and animation consistent with anime that would be aired on Crunchyroll. (not neccessarily big budget)\n- Primarily uses 2D animation style. 3D models do not count. \n- Should appear to have a standard \"anime\" style. \n\nIf the above are not met this market resolves NO. \n\nI will NOT bet in this market. \nI plan to resolve based on the spirit of the question.\n\n(I will slowly be making a series of these with different timelines)","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.720242,0.279758],"probability":0.720242,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-04T21:54:11.369000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12511.53729406279,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.4139289855957,"liquidity":1020.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/SneakySly/will-we-have-a-decent-end-to-end-ai-6efae514631f","event_title":"Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?","chart_24h":[0.720242,0.720242]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ngT6WlLtOcmqpAyk8OjM","as_of":"2026-06-10T13:14:14.830501Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?\" — top market at 72% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}