{"source":"manifold","id":"noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","ticker":null,"slug":"will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","title":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","description":"Resolves YES when humanity becomes aware of any spaceship travelling at >10% of the speed of light (either domestic or alien origin)\n\nResolves no in 9999 but it could be re-resolved if we meet aliens after 9999 and they say they were totally doing that before 9999.\n\nfrom comments:  \"“A spaceship, at the bare minimum, has to contain either a computer or a brain, and some capability for receiving and transmitting signals intelligently. So a bullet or a relativistic jet is not a spaceship.”","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-13T17:38:49.447000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":132314.20681310954,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.20536804199219,"liquidity":1445.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.820972,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","top_outcome_probability":0.820972,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","chart_24h":[0.820972,0.820972],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","event_id":"noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","slug":"will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","question":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES when humanity becomes aware of any spaceship travelling at >10% of the speed of light (either domestic or alien origin)\n\nResolves no in 9999 but it could be re-resolved if we meet aliens after 9999 and they say they were totally doing that before 9999.\n\nfrom comments:  \"“A spaceship, at the bare minimum, has to contain either a computer or a brain, and some capability for receiving and transmitting signals intelligently. So a bullet or a relativistic jet is not a spaceship.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.820972,0.179028],"probability":0.820972,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-13T17:38:49.447000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":132314.20681310954,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":52.20536804199219,"liquidity":1445.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-11T05:00:22.660167Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","event_title":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","chart_24h":[0.820972,0.820972]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","as_of":"2026-06-11T05:59:35.238155Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?\" — top market at 82% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}