{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","as_of":"2026-11-02T15:05:41.402557Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?\" — 82% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the"},"source":"manifold","id":"noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","ticker":null,"slug":"will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","title":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","description":"Resolves YES when humanity becomes aware of any spaceship travelling at >10% of the speed of light (either domestic or alien origin)\n\nResolves no in 9999 but it could be re-resolved if we meet aliens after 9999 and they say they were totally doing that before 9999.\n\nfrom comments:  \"“A spaceship, at the bare minimum, has to contain either a computer or a brain, and some capability for receiving and transmitting signals intelligently. So a bullet or a relativistic jet is not a spaceship.”","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-13T17:38:49.447000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"volume":132339.20681310954,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":51.14106369018555,"liquidity":1445.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.823179,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","top_outcome_probability":0.823179,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:17:27.265185Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","event_id":"noUOKXlbIpzQwnPyA1Qf","slug":"will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","question":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES when humanity becomes aware of any spaceship travelling at >10% of the speed of light (either domestic or alien origin)\n\nResolves no in 9999 but it could be re-resolved if we meet aliens after 9999 and they say they were totally doing that before 9999.\n\nfrom comments:  \"“A spaceship, at the bare minimum, has to contain either a computer or a brain, and some capability for receiving and transmitting signals intelligently. So a bullet or a relativistic jet is not a spaceship.”","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.823179,0.176821],"probability":0.823179,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-13T17:38:49.447000Z","end_date":null,"closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":132339.20681310954,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":51.14106369018555,"liquidity":1445.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:14:45.989608Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-any-spaceship-exceed-10-of-the","event_title":"Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?","chart_24h":null}]}