{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ntBBvjGx8oo00LBgUvVJ","as_of":"2026-10-28T20:41:06.750487Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?\" — 6% as of 2026-09-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/ntBBvjGx8oo00LBgUvVJ","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-peter-thiel-ever-be-a-candidat"},"source":"manifold","id":"ntBBvjGx8oo00LBgUvVJ","ticker":null,"slug":"will-peter-thiel-ever-be-a-candidat","title":"Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?","description":"Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House. ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-07-30T01:59:39.715000Z","end_date":"2032-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8673.982454806666,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.243410110473633,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.059202,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?","top_outcome_probability":0.059202,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:28:27.909717Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:28:27.909717Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-peter-thiel-ever-be-a-candidat","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"ntBBvjGx8oo00LBgUvVJ","event_id":"ntBBvjGx8oo00LBgUvVJ","slug":"will-peter-thiel-ever-be-a-candidat","question":"Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if Thiel announces and files paperwork launching a formal campaign for the White House. ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.059202,0.940798],"probability":0.059202,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-07-30T01:59:39.715000Z","end_date":"2032-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8673.982454806666,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.243410110473633,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-12T19:27:44.750842Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-12T19:27:44.750842Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-peter-thiel-ever-be-a-candidat","event_title":"Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?","chart_24h":null}]}