{"source":"manifold","id":"nyyupACZLR","ticker":null,"slug":"acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-ce","title":"[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?","description":"(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40966)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.\n\nMetaculus high-level description:\n\nThis question will resolve as Yes if, at any point before January 1, 2027, Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel.\n\nThis includes Netanyahu getting suspended, an acting Prime Minister being appointed, or any other temporary circumstance that removes his power, if it lasts for at least 14 consecutive days entirely within 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T22:30:27.844000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20391.10399448094,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.96318435668945,"liquidity":5100.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.42763,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.42763,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-04T03:59:59.203740Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T03:59:59.203740Z","added_at":"2026-05-29T20:29:28.296600Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-ce","chart_24h":[0.42763,0.42763],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"nyyupACZLR","event_id":"nyyupACZLR","slug":"acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-ce","question":"[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40966)Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.\n\nMetaculus high-level description:\n\nThis question will resolve as Yes if, at any point before January 1, 2027, Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel.\n\nThis includes Netanyahu getting suspended, an acting Prime Minister being appointed, or any other temporary circumstance that removes his power, if it lasts for at least 14 consecutive days entirely within 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.42763,0.57237],"probability":0.42763,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-06T22:30:27.844000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20391.10399448094,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.96318435668945,"liquidity":5100.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T03:59:13.374143Z","added_at":"2026-05-29T20:29:28.296600Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/DaftPunkRock/acx-2026-will-benjamin-netanyahu-ce","event_title":"[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?","chart_24h":[0.42763,0.42763]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/nyyupACZLR","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:33:08.387817Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?\" — top market at 43% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}