{"source":"manifold","id":"oaGxA81jXIeNt4vivU2a","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-iphone-be-sold-in-the-eu-w","title":"Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?","description":"Today the EU demanded that phone manufacturers have to put user-replaceable batteries in smartphones by 2027. Will Apple actually do it?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2Fg8fZAvEoTR.png?alt=media&token=4d22f310-f91e-4eb5-9a16-d4b1296d9e94","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-06-16T19:44:54.504000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7572.919215099961,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.538658142089844,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.14,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.14,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T06:57:13.069232Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T06:57:13.069232Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-the-iphone-be-sold-in-the-eu-w","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"oaGxA81jXIeNt4vivU2a","event_id":"oaGxA81jXIeNt4vivU2a","slug":"will-the-iphone-be-sold-in-the-eu-w","question":"Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Today the EU demanded that phone manufacturers have to put user-replaceable batteries in smartphones by 2027. Will Apple actually do it?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2Fg8fZAvEoTR.png?alt=media&token=4d22f310-f91e-4eb5-9a16-d4b1296d9e94","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-06-16T19:44:54.504000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7572.919215099961,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.538658142089844,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["European Union"],"updated_at":"2026-08-28T22:16:32.763136Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T06:55:47.426337Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-the-iphone-be-sold-in-the-eu-w","event_title":"Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/oaGxA81jXIeNt4vivU2a","as_of":"2026-09-10T17:56:41.468816Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the iPhone be sold in the EU with a user-replaceable battery by 2027?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}