{"source":"manifold","id":"pGxgQCkOe5W3rsW1D4ry","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-outlive-biden","title":"Will Trump outlive Biden?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-04T23:27:43.824000Z","end_date":"2146-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14764.69459011196,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.55846405029297,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.704137,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump outlive Biden?","top_outcome_probability":0.704137,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T21:24:41.664112Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T21:24:41.664112Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-trump-outlive-biden","chart_24h":[0.704137,0.704137],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"pGxgQCkOe5W3rsW1D4ry","event_id":"pGxgQCkOe5W3rsW1D4ry","slug":"will-trump-outlive-biden","question":"Will Trump outlive Biden?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.704137,0.295863],"probability":0.704137,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-04T23:27:43.824000Z","end_date":"2146-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14764.69459011196,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.55846405029297,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:04:36.059198Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T21:23:42.848921Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-trump-outlive-biden","event_title":"Will Trump outlive Biden?","chart_24h":[0.704137,0.704137]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/pGxgQCkOe5W3rsW1D4ry","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:01:02.299123Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump outlive Biden?\" — top market at 70% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}