{"source":"manifold","id":"pNj8l23XptX5hLyTQFcG","ticker":null,"slug":"animal-farming-will-be-less-than-10","title":"In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?","description":"One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.\n\nResolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)\n\nClarifications:\n\nResolves based on the average farm size across the start and end years.\n\nGoes by total animal count in the farm.\n\nIncludes aquatic farms.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FrxDAi3nUYS.png?alt=media&token=3b9155a9-4288-4cc8-8ffa-b007d2ba859d","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-25T03:08:02.750000Z","end_date":"2068-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7534.079353695667,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.91683578491211,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.442368,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?","top_outcome_probability":0.442368,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/animal-farming-will-be-less-than-10","chart_24h":[0.442368,0.442368],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"pNj8l23XptX5hLyTQFcG","event_id":"pNj8l23XptX5hLyTQFcG","slug":"animal-farming-will-be-less-than-10","question":"In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?","group_item_title":null,"description":"One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.\n\nResolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)\n\nClarifications:\n\nResolves based on the average farm size across the start and end years.\n\nGoes by total animal count in the farm.\n\nIncludes aquatic farms.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FrxDAi3nUYS.png?alt=media&token=3b9155a9-4288-4cc8-8ffa-b007d2ba859d","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.442368,0.557632],"probability":0.442368,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-25T03:08:02.750000Z","end_date":"2068-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7534.079353695667,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.91683578491211,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Economy","Science and Technology","Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/animal-farming-will-be-less-than-10","event_title":"In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?","chart_24h":[0.442368,0.442368]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/pNj8l23XptX5hLyTQFcG","as_of":"2026-06-10T20:23:27.950354Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?\" — top market at 44% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}