{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/plsdPpp9Iz","as_of":"2026-10-28T04:21:49.047248Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?\" — 76% as of 2026-10-27 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/plsdPpp9Iz","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-democrats-win-more-than-230-se"},"source":"manifold","id":"plsdPpp9Iz","ticker":null,"slug":"will-democrats-win-more-than-230-se","title":"Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?","description":"Resolves to a consensus of media sources.\n\nUpdate 2026-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent who caucuses with Democrats will count as a Democrat.\n\nThe total sum of Democrats and Republicans must equal 435.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:22:01.312000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18644.51798265543,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.563018798828125,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.76,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?","top_outcome_probability":0.76,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-52.314415219146966,"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:56:36.091849Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:56:36.091849Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T20:10:29.142155Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-democrats-win-more-than-230-se","chart_24h":[0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"plsdPpp9Iz","event_id":"plsdPpp9Iz","slug":"will-democrats-win-more-than-230-se","question":"Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves to a consensus of media sources.\n\nUpdate 2026-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent who caucuses with Democrats will count as a Democrat.\n\nThe total sum of Democrats and Republicans must equal 435.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.76,0.24],"probability":0.76,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-11T15:22:01.312000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":18644.51798265543,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-52.314415219146966,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.563018798828125,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-27T15:55:40.130395Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-27T15:55:40.130395Z","added_at":"2026-10-22T20:10:29.142155Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-democrats-win-more-than-230-se","event_title":"Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?","chart_24h":[0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76]}]}