{"source":"manifold","id":"r5Ohmd1NE2siDky4rUS7","ticker":null,"slug":"will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer","title":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033","description":"Inspired by.\n\nIt may later be succeeded by other technologies, but it should be a thing for a period of at least 6 months.\n\n10% of people regularly doing it will serve as an anchor for the definition of \"common\", but I don't expect to have this clean data when resolving, and will be vaguely estimating based on this.\n\nIt may be wrapped in a no-code user interface, as long as there is still a very general coding AI behind it.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FasCnrz2g7z.png?alt=media&token=c46bbff8-07fb-46f7-8f43-3cfce724c10e","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-21T16:29:45.092000Z","end_date":"2033-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7307.214214922036,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.713285446166992,"liquidity":1635.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.591481,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033","top_outcome_probability":0.591481,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tailcalled/will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer","chart_24h":[0.591481,0.591481],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"r5Ohmd1NE2siDky4rUS7","event_id":"r5Ohmd1NE2siDky4rUS7","slug":"will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer","question":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033","group_item_title":null,"description":"Inspired by.\n\nIt may later be succeeded by other technologies, but it should be a thing for a period of at least 6 months.\n\n10% of people regularly doing it will serve as an anchor for the definition of \"common\", but I don't expect to have this clean data when resolving, and will be vaguely estimating based on this.\n\nIt may be wrapped in a no-code user interface, as long as there is still a very general coding AI behind it.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FasCnrz2g7z.png?alt=media&token=c46bbff8-07fb-46f7-8f43-3cfce724c10e","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.591481,0.408519],"probability":0.591481,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-21T16:29:45.092000Z","end_date":"2033-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7307.214214922036,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.713285446166992,"liquidity":1635.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/tailcalled/will-it-be-common-for-nonprogrammer","event_title":"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033","chart_24h":[0.591481,0.591481]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/r5Ohmd1NE2siDky4rUS7","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:47:11.287441Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2033\" — top market at 59% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}