{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/rShL1wo5h8qoRcyoRyWC","as_of":"2026-10-24T02:46:37.717527Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?\" — 1% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/rShL1wo5h8qoRcyoRyWC","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/EternalSunrise/will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-th"},"source":"manifold","id":"rShL1wo5h8qoRcyoRyWC","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-th","title":"Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?","description":"Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025. Resolves NO on 2027-01-01 otherwise.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/AndrewW%2F9b77515ab3ac.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-19T08:51:13.799000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T08:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":101945.90072346885,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.92338562011719,"liquidity":2180.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.007496,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?","top_outcome_probability":0.007496,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T11:50:28.274344Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T11:50:28.274344Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/EternalSunrise/will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-th","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"rShL1wo5h8qoRcyoRyWC","event_id":"rShL1wo5h8qoRcyoRyWC","slug":"will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-th","question":"Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025. Resolves NO on 2027-01-01 otherwise.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/AndrewW%2F9b77515ab3ac.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007496,0.992504],"probability":0.007496,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-19T08:51:13.799000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T08:45:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":101945.90072346885,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.92338562011719,"liquidity":2180.0,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T11:48:57.381791Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T11:48:57.381791Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/EternalSunrise/will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-th","event_title":"Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?","chart_24h":null}]}