{"source":"manifold","id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","ticker":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":"who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","description":"Must be a REAL LIVING PERSON that the majority of Manifold users think can defeat both Biden in a 1-1 election, and Trump in a 1-1 election. \n\nWill be resolved by a poll for each option to decide if they'd win the mock election(s)\n\nInspired by @GG 's market: @/GG/is-there-anyone-who-could-defeat-bi \n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19300.96918728381,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.55463409423828,"liquidity":11450.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"tags":["2024-us-presidential-election","politics-default","society-people","us-politics","culture-default"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Julia Galef","top_outcome_probability":0.979851,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T11:12:45.239248Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T11:12:45.239248Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"7adc597f92c8","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Julia Galef","group_item_title":"Julia Galef","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.979851,0.020149],"probability":0.979851,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:40:41.167000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851,0.979851]},{"source":"manifold","id":"eabwluwq3w","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Zvi Mowshowitz","group_item_title":"Zvi Mowshowitz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.960485,0.039515],"probability":0.960485,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-20T00:05:52.445000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485,0.960485]},{"source":"manifold","id":"232234b15111","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Scott Alexander","group_item_title":"Scott Alexander","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.960191,0.039809],"probability":0.960191,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:40:33.727000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.9848811626434326,"liquidity":225.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191,0.960191]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a6bc1b258586","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Paul Christiano","group_item_title":"Paul Christiano","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.947657,0.052343],"probability":0.947657,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:38:01.029000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657,0.947657]},{"source":"manifold","id":"af8f19fa9142","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Randall Munroe","group_item_title":"Randall Munroe","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.943408,0.056592],"probability":0.943408,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-18T00:19:58.218000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408,0.943408]},{"source":"manifold","id":"52655bf8c560","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Peter Singer","group_item_title":"Peter Singer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.942732,0.057268],"probability":0.942732,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:48:32.870000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.8033127784729,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732,0.942732]},{"source":"manifold","id":"63f605542775","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.934256,0.065744],"probability":0.934256,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-20T07:13:04.089000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256,0.934256]},{"source":"manifold","id":"506buqrx8l","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Dwarkesh Patel","group_item_title":"Dwarkesh Patel","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.926635,0.073365],"probability":0.926635,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-05T06:43:08.671000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.17691707611084,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635,0.926635]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ff469da438ab","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jon Stewart","group_item_title":"Jon Stewart","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.919889,0.080111],"probability":0.919889,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T23:51:41.208000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889,0.919889]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ae167e2e4b2a","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"@SemioticRivalry","group_item_title":"@SemioticRivalry","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.905225,0.094775],"probability":0.905225,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-18T00:24:30.177000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225,0.905225]},{"source":"manifold","id":"93dfa15f7bd2","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Gretchen Whitmer","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.90419,0.09581],"probability":0.90419,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T23:06:36.899000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419,0.90419]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9b6fe90604ea","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Eliezer Yudkowsky","group_item_title":"Eliezer Yudkowsky","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.889757,0.110243],"probability":0.889757,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.9848811626434326,"liquidity":285.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757,0.889757]},{"source":"manifold","id":"14c0d4452a44","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Michelle Obama","group_item_title":"Michelle Obama","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.884446,0.115554],"probability":0.884446,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:02:24.765000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7.012993038694207,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.625767707824707,"liquidity":225.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446,0.884446]},{"source":"manifold","id":"80z9dp0rlr","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Spencer Greenberg","group_item_title":"Spencer Greenberg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.868608,0.131392],"probability":0.868608,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-05T06:43:24.301000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608,0.868608]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6df4b598bbcd","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Sam Wendover","group_item_title":"Sam Wendover","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.865061,0.134939],"probability":0.865061,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-18T00:20:16.152000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061,0.865061]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f3419923a8fb","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Tammy Duckworth","group_item_title":"Tammy Duckworth","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15],"probability":0.85,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:06:41.906000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"manifold","id":"heibegdao8","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Andrew Yang","group_item_title":"Andrew Yang","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.823517,0.176483],"probability":0.823517,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-31T19:06:06.856000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.9848811626434326,"liquidity":250.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517,0.823517]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ay6rhzdhzw","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.822648,0.177352],"probability":0.822648,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-19T01:03:46.723000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.8033127784729,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648,0.822648]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bb967228201d","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Emmanuel Macron","group_item_title":"Emmanuel Macron","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18],"probability":0.82,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:51:24.731000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.8121202305049229,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.13267454504966736,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8b25cf686c76","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jared Polis","group_item_title":"Jared Polis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.22],"probability":0.78,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-20T07:13:18.206000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"manifold","id":"423d17f60ae4","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Manifold Joshua","group_item_title":"Manifold Joshua","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.770648,0.229352],"probability":0.770648,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648,0.770648]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5f409377bac0","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"J. B. Pritzker","group_item_title":"J. B. Pritzker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.760172,0.239828],"probability":0.760172,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-20T07:14:04.439000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172,0.760172]},{"source":"manifold","id":"453fac368e99","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Satya Nadella","group_item_title":"Satya Nadella","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.750057,0.249943],"probability":0.750057,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:26:57.731000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057,0.750057]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f379i4gt3d","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Katie Porter","group_item_title":"Katie Porter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-07T16:50:11.705000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"manifold","id":"de8e091d9ee3","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Aella","group_item_title":"Aella","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.737357,0.262643],"probability":0.737357,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":225.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357,0.737357]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1afcaa713f9","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Andrew Wiles","group_item_title":"Andrew Wiles","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.732496,0.267504],"probability":0.732496,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:47:23.971000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496,0.732496]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6v4zx61rjh","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"MrBeast","group_item_title":"MrBeast","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.73,0.27],"probability":0.73,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-13T03:32:53.524000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2.000000000000007,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.45308154821395874,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4664cec7dff7","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.722019,0.277981],"probability":0.722019,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":205.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019,0.722019]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1f1fc79b2b8e","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Garry Kasparov ","group_item_title":"Garry Kasparov ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-21T08:23:28.335000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fe73a9c2e291","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"@Mira","group_item_title":"@Mira","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.718397,0.281603],"probability":0.718397,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:39:02.814000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397,0.718397]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4d5deb9614c1","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"William Mc Askill","group_item_title":"William Mc Askill","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.704667,0.295333],"probability":0.704667,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:57:37.672000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667,0.704667]},{"source":"manifold","id":"azdi4xb776","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Vermin Supreme","group_item_title":"Vermin Supreme","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.694495,0.305505],"probability":0.694495,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-01T01:17:18.283000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495,0.694495]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3yr4hmofrp","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Eric Schmidt","group_item_title":"Eric Schmidt","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31],"probability":0.69,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-01T21:36:21.461000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fda3a23c2902","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Magnus Carlsen","group_item_title":"Magnus Carlsen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.675524,0.324476],"probability":0.675524,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-21T08:23:45.312000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524,0.675524]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0ae560f73f82","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Bill Gates","group_item_title":"Bill Gates","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.651858,0.348142],"probability":0.651858,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:56:47.196000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":265.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858,0.651858]},{"source":"manifold","id":"31d173877de6","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Raphael Warnock","group_item_title":"Raphael Warnock","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.646832,0.353168],"probability":0.646832,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T23:06:43.764000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832,0.646832]},{"source":"manifold","id":"22e22a7a0f38","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Mark Cuban","group_item_title":"Mark Cuban","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:56:50.286000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7a7bd907e8d5","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Gordon Ramsay","group_item_title":"Gordon Ramsay","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.632368,0.367632],"probability":0.632368,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T16:28:27.235000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368,0.632368]},{"source":"manifold","id":"58eb1c2a50a5","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Justin Trudeau","group_item_title":"Justin Trudeau","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.630572,0.369428],"probability":0.630572,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:44:09.852000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572,0.630572]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e476d5201681","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Bernie Sanders","group_item_title":"Bernie Sanders","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.629783,0.370217],"probability":0.629783,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:20:08.937000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783,0.629783]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dbad3c938d81","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"@strutheo","group_item_title":"@strutheo","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.617021,0.382979],"probability":0.617021,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:15:37.833000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021,0.617021]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a161611b3a6d","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Bryan Caplan","group_item_title":"Bryan Caplan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.615951,0.384049],"probability":0.615951,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:22:05.339000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951,0.615951]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9a8fa951ad04","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Ursula von der Leyen","group_item_title":"Ursula von der Leyen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.608994,0.391006],"probability":0.608994,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T17:08:26.622000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994,0.608994]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d6497317171b","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Bill Maher","group_item_title":"Bill Maher","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.604779,0.395221],"probability":0.604779,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:02:13.680000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779,0.604779]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b8f67ca278f2","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Linus Torvalds","group_item_title":"Linus Torvalds","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.60118,0.39882],"probability":0.60118,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:27:20.246000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4214547872543335,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118,0.60118]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c5472808a41b","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Bryan Cranston","group_item_title":"Bryan Cranston","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.590164,0.409836],"probability":0.590164,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T17:05:10.460000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qkj6qsi8k7","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Cory Booker","group_item_title":"Cory Booker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.590164,0.409836],"probability":0.590164,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-10-18T15:59:24.318000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164,0.590164]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7ba1b53ce2be","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Al Gore","group_item_title":"Al Gore","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41],"probability":0.59,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:24:12.075000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a564b7fbfdf1","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Michael Bloomberg","group_item_title":"Michael Bloomberg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41],"probability":0.59,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:01:46.024000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a0ade8ff1184","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Kathy Hochul","group_item_title":"Kathy Hochul","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.587662,0.412338],"probability":0.587662,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-20T07:15:57.142000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662,0.587662]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6b960657ea2f","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Manifold James","group_item_title":"Manifold James","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.586339,0.413661],"probability":0.586339,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:53:34.126000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339,0.586339]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3dcbb34d488b","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Sam Altman","group_item_title":"Sam Altman","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.585766,0.414234],"probability":0.585766,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:15:04.309000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766,0.585766]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5dsysgmpkw","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Blake Huber","group_item_title":"Blake Huber","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-01T14:33:28.988000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"manifold","id":"280bf87ff4b5","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Mitt Romney","group_item_title":"Mitt Romney","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.57305,0.42695],"probability":0.57305,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:20:39.836000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":165.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305,0.57305]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c78cd816e332","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"A randomly selected active Manifold user","group_item_title":"A randomly selected active Manifold user","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.570741,0.429259],"probability":0.570741,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-18T00:19:39.165000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741,0.570741]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fedbf96c2876","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Taylor Swift","group_item_title":"Taylor Swift","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:11:27.239000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":185.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4115151c3772","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Manifold Austin","group_item_title":"Manifold Austin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.561928,0.438072],"probability":0.561928,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:53:30.999000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928,0.561928]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0f859731bebd","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jose Luis Ricon","group_item_title":"Jose Luis Ricon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.556423,0.443577],"probability":0.556423,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:26:19.679000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423,0.556423]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cb9a6123cb90","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Warren Buffett","group_item_title":"Warren Buffett","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.555685,0.444315],"probability":0.555685,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:27:50.093000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685,0.555685]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c370fd30ee7f","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Keanu Reeves","group_item_title":"Keanu Reeves","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.540727,0.459273],"probability":0.540727,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:28:34.477000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727,0.540727]},{"source":"manifold","id":"raz838gxa1","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Cory Doctorow","group_item_title":"Cory Doctorow","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.524376,0.475624],"probability":0.524376,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-10-19T20:12:34.219000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21.99999999999997,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.6906213760375977,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376,0.524376]},{"source":"manifold","id":"92sflpvrjx","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Ray William Johnson","group_item_title":"Ray William Johnson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.518962,0.481038],"probability":0.518962,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-03T12:17:21.362000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":250.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962,0.518962]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dsb4bwxlae","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"LeBron James","group_item_title":"LeBron James","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.514377,0.485623],"probability":0.514377,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-12T13:00:28.999000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377,0.514377]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e2c27957e28b","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","group_item_title":"Volodymyr Zelenskyy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.511561,0.488439],"probability":0.511561,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T22:38:18.058000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States","Ukraine"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561,0.511561]},{"source":"manifold","id":"493489f6fb1f","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Ding Liren","group_item_title":"Ding Liren","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.500698,0.499302],"probability":0.500698,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-21T08:24:13.413000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698,0.500698]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1300977ea796","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Nikil Saval","group_item_title":"Nikil Saval","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-20T07:15:45.283000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3y4k58xzqw","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"@ZacParker","group_item_title":"@ZacParker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-31T16:46:18.679000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":250.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5a7b9df8f7d6","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Zach Robinson","group_item_title":"Zach Robinson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:57:28.410000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8SyEcdtccE","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Liu Bei","group_item_title":"Liu Bei","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-10T23:56:50.037000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8.34726777719229,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.875319242477417,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Cdss2u5CSp","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Alexandr Wang","group_item_title":"Alexandr Wang","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-10T23:55:52.730000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Sp8A5uQzCp","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Cao Cao","group_item_title":"Cao Cao","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-10T23:56:42.709000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1584794521331787,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"edzwqa98zs","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"SCP-999","group_item_title":"SCP-999","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-31T16:47:43.167000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":250.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tymheuhu0i","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Stannis Baratheon","group_item_title":"Stannis Baratheon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-05-31T16:47:54.835000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":250.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"99f1b770c56f","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Tim Cook","group_item_title":"Tim Cook","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.491084,0.508916],"probability":0.491084,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:26:26.213000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084,0.491084]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d369e1fbf740","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.487033,0.512967],"probability":0.487033,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:09:20.270000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":105.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.163945198059082,"liquidity":205.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033,0.487033]},{"source":"manifold","id":"91a9731e2a28","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jeff Bezos","group_item_title":"Jeff Bezos","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.477918,0.522082],"probability":0.477918,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:11:16.507000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918,0.477918]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d7ed2c8ed65e","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Hillary Clinton","group_item_title":"Hillary Clinton","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:25:08.016000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.12157533876564819,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.004941668827086687,"liquidity":185.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47]},{"source":"manifold","id":"67b63044afe5","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Destiny","group_item_title":"Destiny","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.454697,0.545303],"probability":0.454697,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697,0.454697]},{"source":"manifold","id":"usRtgSUAOc","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Guillaume Verdon","group_item_title":"Guillaume Verdon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.452489,0.547511],"probability":0.452489,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-25T00:42:05.290000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489,0.452489]},{"source":"manifold","id":"k7nxcww1rw","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Peter Thiel","group_item_title":"Peter Thiel","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.434966,0.565034],"probability":0.434966,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-21T21:01:43.364000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966,0.434966]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5ed9405e049e","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Emma Watson","group_item_title":"Emma Watson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.433063,0.566937],"probability":0.433063,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:46:46.006000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063,0.433063]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a2a47c40aef0","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Oprah","group_item_title":"Oprah","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.431174,0.568826],"probability":0.431174,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:01:56.021000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174,0.431174]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e79e84a63d87","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Rick Astley","group_item_title":"Rick Astley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.429982,0.570018],"probability":0.429982,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T16:51:29.582000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1584794521331787,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982,0.429982]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e7dc681381fd","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jimmy Carter","group_item_title":"Jimmy Carter","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.404629,0.595371],"probability":0.404629,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:07:09.792000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629,0.404629]},{"source":"manifold","id":"b83150de57ab","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.401308,0.598692],"probability":0.401308,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:05:20.119000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":245.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308,0.401308]},{"source":"manifold","id":"030117cccaca","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Anatoly Karpov","group_item_title":"Anatoly Karpov","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.391386,0.608614],"probability":0.391386,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-21T08:24:24.843000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386,0.391386]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4ee049b79c09","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Rishi Sunak","group_item_title":"Rishi Sunak","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.370526,0.629474],"probability":0.370526,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:44:52.021000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United Kingdom","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526,0.370526]},{"source":"manifold","id":"666485179cf1","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Anthony Fantano","group_item_title":"Anthony Fantano","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.363085,0.636915],"probability":0.363085,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-20T07:16:18.006000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085,0.363085]},{"source":"manifold","id":"20111f083463","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Sundar Pichai","group_item_title":"Sundar Pichai","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.354437,0.645563],"probability":0.354437,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:27:09.244000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437,0.354437]},{"source":"manifold","id":"3f05c876b826","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Nikki Haley","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.353969,0.646031],"probability":0.353969,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969,0.353969]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d15fd89ecb9a","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ","group_item_title":"Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.348813,0.651187],"probability":0.348813,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T21:25:55.294000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13.999999999999993,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.7529664039611816,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813,0.348813]},{"source":"manifold","id":"naus0d97yj","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Javier Milei","group_item_title":"Javier Milei","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.34746,0.65254],"probability":0.34746,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-06-20T19:55:36.291000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1.4072129180294595,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.28969496488571167,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["Argentina","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746,0.34746]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d3fe5b4d7629","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Brian Tomasik","group_item_title":"Brian Tomasik","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.338946,0.661054],"probability":0.338946,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T15:31:26.782000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946,0.338946]},{"source":"manifold","id":"c7316540cc91","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Cristiano Ronaldo","group_item_title":"Cristiano Ronaldo","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.338499,0.661501],"probability":0.338499,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T16:27:01.489000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ded3e4838d28","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Lionel Messi","group_item_title":"Lionel Messi","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.338499,0.661501],"probability":0.338499,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T16:26:15.388000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499,0.338499]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d46afe57ecb6","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Mark Zuckerberg","group_item_title":"Mark Zuckerberg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.322426,0.677574],"probability":0.322426,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:11:03.563000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426,0.322426]},{"source":"manifold","id":"133f31b17521","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Prince Harry","group_item_title":"Prince Harry","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.319922,0.680078],"probability":0.319922,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:45:19.991000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922,0.319922]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9eaca2d239aa","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jeb \"Please Clap\" Bush","group_item_title":"Jeb \"Please Clap\" Bush","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-18T00:20:59.431000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.5635962310577945,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.0750032514333725,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"manifold","id":"751904b05c93","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Hunter Biden","group_item_title":"Hunter Biden","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.281967,0.718033],"probability":0.281967,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-23T07:54:56.253000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.479572057723999,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967,0.281967]},{"source":"manifold","id":"edf36ec45ffb","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Liz Cheney","group_item_title":"Liz Cheney","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.245434,0.754566],"probability":0.245434,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:24:58.884000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434,0.245434]},{"source":"manifold","id":"17a9b284a8a4","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Vivek Ramaswamy","group_item_title":"Vivek Ramaswamy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.242335,0.757665],"probability":0.242335,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T18:18:43.823000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12.238732521159319,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.5048727989196777,"liquidity":125.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335,0.242335]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cb2eb99c62bd","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Elon Musk","group_item_title":"Elon Musk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.220197,0.779803],"probability":0.220197,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T17:48:45.861000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":265.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197,0.220197]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a94e5b9d0501","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Yann Lecun","group_item_title":"Yann Lecun","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-16T21:01:16.576000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.7183623742496517,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.11002177000045776,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"manifold","id":"54110f948a67","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"A randomly selected banned Manifold user","group_item_title":"A randomly selected banned Manifold user","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:02:57.857000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.11470184319593457,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.0044263205491006374,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"manifold","id":"eaf60b200641","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Joe Rogan","group_item_title":"Joe Rogan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.165553,0.834447],"probability":0.165553,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T17:04:15.887000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553,0.165553]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0365962bb7b2","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Chuck Norris","group_item_title":"Chuck Norris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.163149,0.836851],"probability":0.163149,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-15T06:41:33.320000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.8033127784729,"liquidity":45.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149,0.163149]},{"source":"manifold","id":"br5c9yt2pw","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Tucker Carlson","group_item_title":"Tucker Carlson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.158568,0.841432],"probability":0.158568,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-09-21T21:00:31.449000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568,0.158568]},{"source":"manifold","id":"7f38f2c1be3d","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Ivanka Trump","group_item_title":"Ivanka Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.091068,0.908932],"probability":0.091068,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T20:25:46.481000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":105.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068,0.091068]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a87146aa3bf4","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Jordan Peterson","group_item_title":"Jordan Peterson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.07796,0.92204],"probability":0.07796,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-13T19:43:17.993000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":145.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796,0.07796]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e040c99dcd97","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Ben Shapiro","group_item_title":"Ben Shapiro","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.063171,0.936829],"probability":0.063171,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-14T17:09:25.119000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":85.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171,0.063171]},{"source":"manifold","id":"78a126965c4f","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Sam Bankman-Fried","group_item_title":"Sam Bankman-Fried","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.057312,0.942688],"probability":0.057312,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:24:18.393000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.426748275756836,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312,0.057312]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8b2ed1ddb63f","event_id":"rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","slug":null,"question":"Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.","group_item_title":"Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.056851,0.943149],"probability":0.056851,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-04-17T20:24:44.065000Z","end_date":"2026-08-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics","Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:36:14.036261Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T14:34:47.033491Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/who-would-manifold-vote-for-over-bo","event_title":"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851,0.056851]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/rVzVk4SZ8c65wgbDQCOw","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:51:54.110958Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]\" — top market at 98% probability across 112 outcomes","source_url":null}}