{"source":"manifold","id":"riNXTtjLmNOSxW1bLu8S","ticker":null,"slug":"will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784","title":"Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?","description":"Resolves as YES if Vladimir Putin is the leader of Russia on December 31st 2026\n\nQuestions with the same criteria:\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-1d6af8492e40 \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-c5fc19dfa944 \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784 (this question)\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-633da0d6a39c \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-09b2c751b74f \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-52c0e8d8ea7f \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-aa73615a426e \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-6b1223a04765 \n\nRelated questions:\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-37fe12f0ac09 \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-xi-jinping-be-the-leader-of-ch-6297433c3df1 \n\nOther questions:\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-stop-being-the \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-stop-being-the-lea-13c9f4444de4 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put \n\nImage credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_19-01-2021.jpg\n\nImage Source: President of the Russian Federation, www.kremlin.ru. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FjapFg6RwC_.jpg?alt=media&token=5c5b7ead-ce87-436c-890b-81f933fae555","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-17T11:16:01.064000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29175.020471937234,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.67964553833008,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.911476,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.911476,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784","chart_24h":[0.911476,0.911476],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"riNXTtjLmNOSxW1bLu8S","event_id":"riNXTtjLmNOSxW1bLu8S","slug":"will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784","question":"Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves as YES if Vladimir Putin is the leader of Russia on December 31st 2026\n\nQuestions with the same criteria:\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-1d6af8492e40 \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-c5fc19dfa944 \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784 (this question)\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-633da0d6a39c \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-09b2c751b74f \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-52c0e8d8ea7f \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-aa73615a426e \n\n@/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-leader-o-6b1223a04765 \n\nRelated questions:\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-be-the-leader-of-n-37fe12f0ac09 \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-xi-jinping-be-the-leader-of-ch-6297433c3df1 \n\nOther questions:\n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-vladimir-putin-stop-being-the \n\n@/RemNiFHfMN/will-kim-jong-un-stop-being-the-lea-13c9f4444de4 \n\n@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put \n\nImage credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Vladimir_Putin_19-01-2021.jpg\n\nImage Source: President of the Russian Federation, www.kremlin.ru. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FjapFg6RwC_.jpg?alt=media&token=5c5b7ead-ce87-436c-890b-81f933fae555","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.911476,0.088524],"probability":0.911476,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-12-17T11:16:01.064000Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29175.020471937234,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.67964553833008,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T13:27:14.571814Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-02T05:46:15.969102Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of-db3a43202784","event_title":"Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?","chart_24h":[0.911476,0.911476]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/riNXTtjLmNOSxW1bLu8S","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:25:20.802927Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?\" — top market at 91% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}