{"source":"manifold","id":"s2NLyA0UsZ","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-virginia-redistricting-ref-8cq9IcCCdh","title":"Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?","description":"The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.\n\nRecently however there have been efforts to block the certification. This will resolve Yes if the election is certified by June 30th or before. It will resolve yes even if the maps are blocked as long as the election is certified.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Virginia_redistricting_amendment","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T15:28:48.883000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T15:27:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18576.94950493759,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.27230453491211,"liquidity":5001.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.095901,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?","top_outcome_probability":0.095901,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-07T14:16:30.114566Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T14:16:30.114566Z","added_at":"2026-05-08T21:13:07.573375Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-the-virginia-redistricting-ref-8cq9IcCCdh","chart_24h":[0.095901,0.095901],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"s2NLyA0UsZ","event_id":"s2NLyA0UsZ","slug":"will-the-virginia-redistricting-ref-8cq9IcCCdh","question":"Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?","group_item_title":null,"description":"The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.\n\nRecently however there have been efforts to block the certification. This will resolve Yes if the election is certified by June 30th or before. It will resolve yes even if the maps are blocked as long as the election is certified.\n\nhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Virginia_redistricting_amendment","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.095901,0.904099],"probability":0.095901,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-27T15:28:48.883000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T15:27:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18576.94950493759,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.27230453491211,"liquidity":5001.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:18:46.511111Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T14:15:41.496665Z","added_at":"2026-05-08T21:13:07.573375Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/BillClintonBubba/will-the-virginia-redistricting-ref-8cq9IcCCdh","event_title":"Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?","chart_24h":[0.095901,0.095901]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/s2NLyA0UsZ","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:34:31.761308Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th?\" — top market at 10% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}