{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/sCOZtS0y5E","as_of":"2026-11-13T16:11:24.287432Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?\" — 35% as of 2026-11-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/sCOZtS0y5E","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030"},"source":"manifold","id":"sCOZtS0y5E","ticker":null,"slug":"anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030","title":"Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?","description":"Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030\n\n[tweet]Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Anthropic is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).\n\nUpdate 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on events occurring before the start of 2030 (i.e., before January 1, 2030), not before the end of 2030.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-20T02:37:28.142000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":510674.0918329285,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":63.45926284790039,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.35,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.35,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-89.48794245311016,"updated_at":"2026-11-13T12:32:56.380143Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T12:32:56.380143Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"sCOZtS0y5E","event_id":"sCOZtS0y5E","slug":"anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030","question":"Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves yes if anthropic is worth more than apple in market capitalization before 2030\n\n[tweet]Update 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Anthropic is private, the market will resolve based on its latest known valuation (not public market capitalization).\n\nUpdate 2025-12-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on events occurring before the start of 2030 (i.e., before January 1, 2030), not before the end of 2030.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-20T02:37:28.142000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":510674.0918329285,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-89.48794245311016,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":63.45926284790039,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-13T12:29:23.797386Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-13T12:29:23.797386Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/anthropic-laps-apple-in-2030","event_title":"Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35]}]}