{"source":"manifold","id":"sUiyLOJurlhQc5POqJuQ","ticker":null,"slug":"will-the-next-president-of-argentin","title":"Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?","description":"According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.\n\nThis market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-31T08:39:57.713000Z","end_date":"2027-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11874.027448345363,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.044273376464844,"liquidity":1195.75,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.937429,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?","top_outcome_probability":0.937429,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-the-next-president-of-argentin","chart_24h":[0.937429,0.937429],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"sUiyLOJurlhQc5POqJuQ","event_id":"sUiyLOJurlhQc5POqJuQ","slug":"will-the-next-president-of-argentin","question":"Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?","group_item_title":null,"description":"According to their constitution, the Rresident of Argentina serves for four years, with a possibility of immediate reelection for one more term.\n\nThis market will resolve YES, if the next elected president of Argentina (elections on October 22, 2023) serves full term and his presidency ends with normally scheduled elections.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve NO.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.937429,0.062571],"probability":0.937429,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-08-31T08:39:57.713000Z","end_date":"2027-10-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11874.027448345363,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.044273376464844,"liquidity":1195.75,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Argentina"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T16:12:03.898419Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-the-next-president-of-argentin","event_title":"Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?","chart_24h":[0.937429,0.937429]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/sUiyLOJurlhQc5POqJuQ","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:29:52.362876Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?\" — top market at 94% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}