{"source":"manifold","id":"spuyq56Py5","ticker":null,"slug":"will-if-anyone-builds-it-appear-in","title":"Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?","description":"Resolution criteria\n\nResolves YES if “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares appears on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list (any category, including Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction, Hardcover Nonfiction, or Audio Nonfiction) on a list published after this market opens and before it closes. Evidence: the title listed on the relevant NYT weekly page.\n\nExample list pages: https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/combined-print-and-e-book-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/hardcover-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/audio-nonfiction/\n\nIf the book is already on a list the week this market opens, the next distinct weekly appearance counts as “again.”\n\nI won’t be trading on this market. The above resolution criteria are AI-generated; they might be clarified or changed as the market progresses.\n\nBeing in a NYT bestseller list that is not published on the NYT website doesn’t count towards the resolution.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-27T12:54:02.903000Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:46:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30407.602234327718,"volume_24hr":1579.7548314336966,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.02446365356445,"normalized_volume":39.423580169677734,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.387646,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?","top_outcome_probability":0.387646,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.327668,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1529.7548314336966,"updated_at":"2026-09-17T07:47:34.962794Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T07:47:34.962794Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ms/will-if-anyone-builds-it-appear-in","chart_24h":[0.059978,0.058996,0.058996,0.058996,0.058996,0.083204,0.083204,0.096168,0.096168,0.096168,0.42755,0.407033,0.387646,0.387646],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"spuyq56Py5","event_id":"spuyq56Py5","slug":"will-if-anyone-builds-it-appear-in","question":"Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolution criteria\n\nResolves YES if “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Eliezer Yudkowsky & Nate Soares appears on any weekly New York Times Best Sellers list (any category, including Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction, Hardcover Nonfiction, or Audio Nonfiction) on a list published after this market opens and before it closes. Evidence: the title listed on the relevant NYT weekly page.\n\nExample list pages: https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/combined-print-and-e-book-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/hardcover-nonfiction/ • https://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/audio-nonfiction/\n\nIf the book is already on a list the week this market opens, the next distinct weekly appearance counts as “again.”\n\nI won’t be trading on this market. The above resolution criteria are AI-generated; they might be clarified or changed as the market progresses.\n\nBeing in a NYT bestseller list that is not published on the NYT website doesn’t count towards the resolution.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.387646,0.612354],"probability":0.387646,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-27T12:54:02.903000Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:46:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":30407.602234327718,"volume_24hr":1579.7548314336966,"prob_24h_change":0.327668,"volume_24h_change":1529.7548314336966,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.02446365356445,"normalized_volume":39.423580169677734,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-17T07:46:48.546325Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T07:46:48.546325Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ms/will-if-anyone-builds-it-appear-in","event_title":"Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?","chart_24h":[0.059978,0.058996,0.058996,0.058996,0.058996,0.083204,0.083204,0.096168,0.096168,0.096168,0.42755,0.407033,0.387646,0.387646]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/spuyq56Py5","as_of":"2026-09-17T08:00:18.399489Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?\" — top market at 39% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}