{"source":"manifold","id":"tEovjp0kqLtMlc5tzi83","ticker":null,"slug":"will-trump-still-be-president-in-ju","title":"Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?","description":"This question is about if Trump will exceed the expected presidential term in case he is elected this year. \n\nWays this might come to happen are among others\n\nTrump running for a third term and winning \n\nPostponing of the 2029 elections\n\nTrump remaining in power as president for extended time due to a major global threat (like war)\n\nCancellation of the 2029 elections\n\nOther major change in election rules that extends his presidency \n\nIn case there is a change in terminology or setup where post 2029 Trump is not holding the legal title of president, but holds all de factor all presidential powers, then this question might also resolve to \"Yes\", given there is agreement among the community that this reflects the situation justly. \n\nIf Trump is not elected as the 2025-2029 president, this question is resolved as N/A","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Flekkie%2F3e010c08e4e2.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-12T01:10:10.813000Z","end_date":"2030-06-01T11:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15764.379333477493,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.07090377807617,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?","top_outcome_probability":0.05,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Flekkie/will-trump-still-be-president-in-ju","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"tEovjp0kqLtMlc5tzi83","event_id":"tEovjp0kqLtMlc5tzi83","slug":"will-trump-still-be-president-in-ju","question":"Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This question is about if Trump will exceed the expected presidential term in case he is elected this year. \n\nWays this might come to happen are among others\n\nTrump running for a third term and winning \n\nPostponing of the 2029 elections\n\nTrump remaining in power as president for extended time due to a major global threat (like war)\n\nCancellation of the 2029 elections\n\nOther major change in election rules that extends his presidency \n\nIn case there is a change in terminology or setup where post 2029 Trump is not holding the legal title of president, but holds all de factor all presidential powers, then this question might also resolve to \"Yes\", given there is agreement among the community that this reflects the situation justly. \n\nIf Trump is not elected as the 2025-2029 president, this question is resolved as N/A","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Flekkie%2F3e010c08e4e2.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-02-12T01:10:10.813000Z","end_date":"2030-06-01T11:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15764.379333477493,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.07090377807617,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Flekkie/will-trump-still-be-president-in-ju","event_title":"Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tEovjp0kqLtMlc5tzi83","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:22:30.865463Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?\" — top market at 5% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}