{"source":"manifold","id":"tNPUOPydRQ","ticker":null,"slug":"will-count-binface-win-the-clactonb","title":"Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Count Binface is officially declared the Member of Parliament (MP) for Clacton following the by-election triggered on July 7, 2026.\n\n\nThis market will resolve to NO if any other candidate is declared the winner, or if the election occurs and Count Binface does not win.\n\n\nIf Count Binface does not officially register or stand as a candidate in the Clacton by-election, this market will resolve to NO.\n\n\nIf the by-election is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:18:06.237000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T20:15:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6384.559963115048,"volume_24hr":3754.6968576649792,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.32644271850586,"normalized_volume":28.80049705505371,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.110479,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?","top_outcome_probability":0.110479,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.011237000000000011,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-2932.160879653245,"updated_at":"2026-07-10T01:49:57.882944Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T01:49:57.882944Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T22:02:58.273635Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/sahaj/will-count-binface-win-the-clactonb","chart_24h":[0.121716,0.121716,0.110479,0.110479,0.110479],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"tNPUOPydRQ","event_id":"tNPUOPydRQ","slug":"will-count-binface-win-the-clactonb","question":"Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to YES if Count Binface is officially declared the Member of Parliament (MP) for Clacton following the by-election triggered on July 7, 2026.\n\n\nThis market will resolve to NO if any other candidate is declared the winner, or if the election occurs and Count Binface does not win.\n\n\nIf Count Binface does not officially register or stand as a candidate in the Clacton by-election, this market will resolve to NO.\n\n\nIf the by-election is canceled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to N/A.\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.110479,0.889521],"probability":0.110479,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T19:18:06.237000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T20:15:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6384.559963115048,"volume_24hr":3754.6968576649792,"prob_24h_change":-0.011237000000000011,"volume_24h_change":-2932.160879653245,"normalized_vol_24hr":58.32644271850586,"normalized_volume":28.80049705505371,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-10T01:49:03.799417Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T01:49:03.799417Z","added_at":"2026-07-09T22:02:58.273635Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/sahaj/will-count-binface-win-the-clactonb","event_title":"Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?","chart_24h":[0.121716,0.121716,0.110479,0.110479,0.110479]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tNPUOPydRQ","as_of":"2026-07-10T02:12:31.457196Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?\" — top market at 11% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}