{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tZq8ZgClZQ","as_of":"2026-11-11T23:01:04.396628Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"What will be the METR AI coding uplift multiple in 2026?\" — \"≥3x\" leads at 64% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-11-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tZq8ZgClZQ","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/what-will-be-the-metr-ai-coding-upl"},"source":"manifold","id":"tZq8ZgClZQ","ticker":"tZq8ZgClZQ","slug":"what-will-be-the-metr-ai-coding-upl","title":"What will be the METR AI coding uplift multiple in 2026?","description":"This market matches Developer Productivity: METR Uplift Study from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.\n\nSee other manifold questions here\n\n[image]Resolution criteria\n\nResolves to the speedup multiple (time_taken_by_developers_without_AI / time_taken_by_developers_with_AI) reported by the most recent METR uplift study published in 2026 using the same or clearly comparable methodology. 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