{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tg2EZA8h8g","as_of":"2026-10-07T03:23:17.680630Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"IPOs in 2026?\" — 22 markets; highest \"Once Upon a Farm\" at 100% as of 2026-10-07 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tg2EZA8h8g","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026"},"source":"manifold","id":"tg2EZA8h8g","ticker":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":"ipos-in-2026","title":"IPOs in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease let me know if you want me to add any more companies that are reasonably likely (25%+) to IPO.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18911.237905137037,"volume_24hr":9.693786160633508,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.130474090576172,"normalized_volume":35.712745666503906,"liquidity":2200.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Once Upon a Farm","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:14.862221Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:14.862221Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:04.422988Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","chart_24h":[325.764439246524,325.764439246524,325.764439246524,320.41443924652395,273.9259477790418,273.9259477790418,73.56651967956786,73.56651967956786,73.56651967956786,73.56651967956786,73.56651967956786,73.56651967956786,73.56651967956786,33.487185158425355,33.487185158425355,33.487185158425355,33.487185158425355,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,41.010306607092986,34.760306607092986,9.693786160633508,9.693786160633508,9.693786160633508,9.693786160633508,9.693786160633508],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"ZIOdcQy5gC","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Anthropic","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17],"probability":0.83,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4030.7028223373036,"volume_24hr":7.523121448667553,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":7.523121448667553,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.380073308944702,"normalized_volume":25.381961822509766,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:20.584192Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.83]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LlqLhLZy6d","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Once Upon a Farm","group_item_title":"Once Upon a Farm","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":951.3270892984838,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.32509422302246,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cQstAS0QSp","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"SpaceX","group_item_title":"SpaceX","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1637.2607095436683,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.174009323120117,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ddlPRz2zy5","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Cerebras","group_item_title":"Cerebras","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1371.7229851197812,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.22150421142578,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ShcgZdtZsL","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Vanta","group_item_title":"Vanta","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.127816,0.872184],"probability":0.127816,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":604.0750018287492,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.109554290771484,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816,0.127816]},{"source":"manifold","id":"SAglpSLqRR","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Applied Intuition","group_item_title":"Applied Intuition","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.123687,0.876313],"probability":0.123687,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":320.10960134992797,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.268331527709961,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687,0.123687]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gt9hL2C26p","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Ripple Labs","group_item_title":"Ripple Labs","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.123387,0.876613],"probability":0.123387,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":562.5494513359615,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.775993347167969,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387,0.123387]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NchONIlLPd","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Glean","group_item_title":"Glean","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.121946,0.878054],"probability":0.121946,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":191.66502302236677,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.192822456359863,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946,0.121946]},{"source":"manifold","id":"I2hZLhEAhP","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Remote","group_item_title":"Remote","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.110869,0.889131],"probability":0.110869,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":216.80985165539482,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.673694610595703,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869,0.110869]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZOzElUSSsA","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Freddie Mac","group_item_title":"Freddie Mac","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.09985,0.90015],"probability":0.09985,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":383.2515591538857,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.043342590332031,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985,0.09985]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cO5sduZOdd","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Discord","group_item_title":"Discord","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1113.6894778477742,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-31.316520446459435,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.129497528076172,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0Ahqt09EdP","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Fannie Mae","group_item_title":"Fannie Mae","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":396.76097672182965,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-40.078652525192865,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.195243835449219,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CsRSQyE9pl","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Mistral AI","group_item_title":"Mistral AI","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":442.10964853476713,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.675539016723633,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":["France"],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EyqP2ncNhA","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Stripe","group_item_title":"Stripe","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":534.8881837249629,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-40.078491467482195,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.54211711883545,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"h2c9gPZPQ9","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Ramp","group_item_title":"Ramp","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T00:36:00.277000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":403.4995863520407,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.269413948059082,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nQ2yPhEsz2","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Databricks","group_item_title":"Databricks","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":697.7542503676634,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.796295166015625,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tp2AtdSRS5","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Celonis","group_item_title":"Celonis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":542.4909349172685,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-140.72445171087986,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.607392311096191,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"z2PO5pp9Ep","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Anduril","group_item_title":"Anduril","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":570.4101148855283,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-71.39565838454376,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.840689659118652,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NI8c26En6s","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"OpenAI","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.045248,0.954752],"probability":0.045248,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1858.4969450836384,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.870452880859375,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248,0.045248]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5ytAl2cyLl","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Brex","group_item_title":"Brex","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T00:36:09.471000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":504.11198797702104,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.269659996032715,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8nt29hu6sC","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"Deel","group_item_title":"Deel","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-03T00:35:18.299000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":580.7822291112885,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.924919128417969,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CIuQtEqRO8","event_id":"tg2EZA8h8g","slug":null,"question":"xAI","group_item_title":"xAI","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.02215,0.97785],"probability":0.02215,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-14T18:29:59.032000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":996.7694749677455,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.56138038635254,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:24.211738Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T03:21:15.363728Z","added_at":"2026-08-12T15:31:05.756473Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/ipos-in-2026","event_title":"IPOs in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215,0.02215]}]}