{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tydcQPIPQU","as_of":"2026-10-24T13:21:04.858543Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]\" — 203 markets; highest \"call someone retarded through text or speech\" at 100% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/tydcQPIPQU","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by"},"source":"manifold","id":"tydcQPIPQU","ticker":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":"what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","description":"Each option resolves yes when he makes statements or actions that act as evidence \n\nThey can be based off statements (Trump calls for...) or for actions he actually follows through on\n\nIn the case where he cant directly do it, getting his Congress or proxy to do so will be enough \n\nWill make a poll for individual options if unsure \n\nUpdate 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Only statements made while Trump is serving as President will count toward resolving statement-based answers; older or non-presidency quotes do not.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory option, drone strikes count.\n\nAny aggressive long-range attack that destroys or injures something inside Mexico counts (e.g., airstrikes, bombs, missile or drone strikes).\n\nUpdate 2025-08-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the \"coin or bill with his image\" option: only circulating currency counts (coins/bills intended for general circulation by the government). Commemorative/non-circulating issues do not count; laws authorizing only commemoratives also do not count.\n\nUpdate 2025-08-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the option 'request and successfully redraw 1/2 or more state districts':\n\n\"1/2 or more\" refers to the number of states, not the number of individual districts.\n\nUpdate 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the \"order the arrest of a governor by name\" option: statements like a governor \"should be\" arrested do not count. It must be a clear, explicit order/command to arrest a named governor.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:48:29.868000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":72246.77826180795,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":46.038330078125,"liquidity":6175.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["magaland","donald-trump","politics-default","trumps-second-term","us-politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"call someone retarded through text or speech","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T06:37:56.598623Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T06:37:56.598623Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":203,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"C9znncOEgI","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"call someone retarded through text or speech","group_item_title":"call someone retarded through text or speech","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T03:23:53.602000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":265.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.466693878173828,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CC5n6StIQs","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela","group_item_title":"Initiates low intensity conflict with Venezuela","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-31T09:52:44.628000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":184.18613553827882,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.027514457702637,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Venezuela"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CUNpO0yhE8","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer","group_item_title":"complete 50% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-16T19:05:48.631000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":169.23495570546442,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.706781387329102,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hEup6zdPQL","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)","group_item_title":"Take control of the army National Guard of a state (not just announcement)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:33:39.494000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tLd5c0R2Zp","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"A literal red line on the ground/floor ","group_item_title":"A literal red line on the ground/floor ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-15T00:59:11.173000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":726.6509043275087,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.972505569458008,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0QA5NSIANL","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.","group_item_title":"Weaponize Federal Procurement: Launch a DOJ criminal investigation into Fed Chair Powell’s $2.5B renovation probity, while simultaneously accepting $400M in private corporate donations for the White House 'State Ballroom'.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.947302,0.052698],"probability":0.947302,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-12T07:51:33.277000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.142603397369385,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302,0.947302]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d5uncSs8ZA","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Not pardon SBF","group_item_title":"Not pardon SBF","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.909581,0.090419],"probability":0.909581,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-02T14:01:03.796000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":87.15119427872104,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.379012584686279,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":"2026-08-02T14:27:30.816258Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581,0.909581]},{"source":"manifold","id":"R9ROgUgARp","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts","group_item_title":"request and successfully redraw 1 or more state districts","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.88273,0.11727],"probability":0.88273,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T18:58:54.788000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":69.9701540312312,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.681985378265381,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273,0.88273]},{"source":"manifold","id":"phzgzRsgnR","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue","group_item_title":"explicitly conditions FEMA aid to a blue state on unrelated ideological issue","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.882493,0.117507],"probability":0.882493,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T16:59:58.462000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":88.89818261674333,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.443814277648926,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493,0.882493]},{"source":"manifold","id":"EPOttuL0NP","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"repeal or reform the dietary guidelines ","group_item_title":"repeal or reform the dietary guidelines ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.88248,0.11752],"probability":0.88248,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:18:06.529000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":42.5701994915685,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.239809513092041,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248,0.88248]},{"source":"manifold","id":"pSEczzhz2I","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Causes Tina Peters' early release","group_item_title":"Causes Tina Peters' early release","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.864609,0.135391],"probability":0.864609,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-17T02:38:26.748000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":154.40012851267298,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.365281105041504,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609,0.864609]},{"source":"manifold","id":"luUp8Oy8Oh","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer","group_item_title":"complete 66% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.835003,0.164997],"probability":0.835003,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-16T19:06:08.949000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":33.70488710711074,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.627206325531006,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003,0.835003]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5N82U5Rtz9","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"pass 500 or more executive orders","group_item_title":"pass 500 or more executive orders","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.804343,0.195657],"probability":0.804343,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T19:42:21.469000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":147.3013449104666,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.192525863647461,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343,0.804343]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0PQyLz6c5s","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican","group_item_title":"intervenes to stop a federal criminal investigation into a high ranking republican","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.802773,0.197227],"probability":0.802773,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-15T18:44:37.182000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":33.823349051733,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.636101722717285,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773,0.802773]},{"source":"manifold","id":"n62EQZqInE","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state ","group_item_title":"refuse to accept results of 2026 midterms in at least one state ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.79426,0.20574],"probability":0.79426,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-14T21:01:17.547000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":924.6780342006438,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.16066551208496,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426,0.79426]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cyUuL9sdEs","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"put his name on a ship in the navy","group_item_title":"put his name on a ship in the navy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.77003,0.22997],"probability":0.77003,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T21:09:36.727000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":396.93413604542275,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.180769920349121,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003,0.77003]},{"source":"manifold","id":"LPNSES0IIs","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"new blockade of a country","group_item_title":"new blockade of a country","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.75748,0.24252],"probability":0.75748,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T22:26:41.986000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":46.3726223045708,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.474698543548584,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748,0.75748]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hAO8Elplpu","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Stays alive","group_item_title":"Stays alive","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.72954,0.27046],"probability":0.72954,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-15T16:43:04.565000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1130.149200330168,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.18271255493164,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954,0.72954]},{"source":"manifold","id":"L0U5dU5Eg6","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)","group_item_title":"Eliminate the two-person train crew safety regulations (DoT request from Project 2025)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:23:12.993000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":155.02922718574868,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.380284309387207,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zldhtU09gl","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"classify \"transgender ideology\" as \"domestic terrorism,\" as per The Daily Wire","group_item_title":"classify \"transgender ideology\" as \"domestic terrorism,\" as per The Daily Wire","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.718003,0.281997],"probability":0.718003,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-28T18:10:09.810000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":747.2472701532847,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.10810089111328,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003,0.718003]},{"source":"manifold","id":"AI60C900ch","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission ","group_item_title":"sends USA troops to enter Mexico without permission ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.701851,0.298149],"probability":0.701851,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:58:33.900000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":288.5980371429271,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.818466186523438,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851,0.701851]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZCE6ZO5Q0C","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc ","group_item_title":"forcibly shuts down a windmill farm power plant or revokes permits etc ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.699571,0.300429],"probability":0.699571,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-14T23:41:27.056000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":60.26568713785464,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.228907108306885,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571,0.699571]},{"source":"manifold","id":"R8dLNAhQ88","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Pardon himself","group_item_title":"Pardon himself","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.690113,0.309887],"probability":0.690113,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-10T03:53:04.124000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":389.49725751346386,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.097823143005371,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113,0.690113]},{"source":"manifold","id":"565CIOI0dd","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts","group_item_title":"request and successfully redraw 2 or more state districts","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31],"probability":0.69,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T18:58:49.910000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":73.75917696022532,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.846061706542969,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69]},{"source":"manifold","id":"N8h5Rz08L5","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries","group_item_title":"sells 100 square miles or more of federal property to private owners or other countries","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.674539,0.325461],"probability":0.674539,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:15:21.033000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":71.56327922301234,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.751771926879883,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539,0.674539]},{"source":"manifold","id":"z8Pqtthhyl","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest","group_item_title":"Pardons a private citizen for an act in opposition to an anti-trump protest","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.662041,0.337959],"probability":0.662041,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-17T15:50:43.290000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":49.866618482604245,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.678525447845459,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041,0.662041]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dypNqyy5Ln","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Says 6 7 (or variant)","group_item_title":"Says 6 7 (or variant)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.661642,0.338358],"probability":0.661642,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-15T22:53:39.217000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":417.94482045564337,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.408323287963867,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642,0.661642]},{"source":"manifold","id":"UUlZU9CyuI","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer","group_item_title":"complete 75% of project 2025 as reported by project2025.observer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-16T19:05:59.514000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":33.90465389932161,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.6421942710876465,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64]},{"source":"manifold","id":"N8Nsl6QCsc","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts","group_item_title":"request and successfully redraw 3 or more state districts","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-09-06T16:01:38.350000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":81.32999746769595,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.155628681182861,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lP6uNUEucs","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Revoke ten or more citizenships ","group_item_title":"Revoke ten or more citizenships ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.595196,0.404804],"probability":0.595196,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:52:23.679000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":283.9184754824057,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.750633239746094,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196,0.595196]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ysUEL2gsS6","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"File lawsuit against a congressperson","group_item_title":"File lawsuit against a congressperson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:51:51.966000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":68.71228920217341,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.626032829284668,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gpL2OgRs0n","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"resume buying oil from Russia ","group_item_title":"resume buying oil from Russia ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T03:08:32.572000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":583.1627739924348,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.925508499145508,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Russia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ORS696zO65","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws","group_item_title":"Pardons an officer for a crime committed on the job enforcing immigration laws","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.521172,0.478828],"probability":0.521172,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-17T15:48:09.082000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":86.19122359066087,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.342978477478027,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172,0.521172]},{"source":"manifold","id":"us2tzSq2Zz","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally","group_item_title":"have any governmental officials visit Taiwan formally or informally","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-07T12:40:22.851000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":122.23569597185706,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.52424144744873,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Taiwan","China"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CRpygERz6d","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Dep","group_item_title":"Dep","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-14T21:54:10.462000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5lLZO0sSU8","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country ","group_item_title":"declare war and send troops to aggressively enter any new country ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:54:01.538000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":372.8954848454338,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.907805442810059,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gU09ZEln8y","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician ","group_item_title":"call for twitter / x to ban account of a democrat politician ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-14T23:44:18.340000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":182.38855449423502,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.990083694458008,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"manifold","id":"zOORz88qcN","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future ","group_item_title":"issue circulation coin or bill with his image or pass laws to do that in the near future ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.480621,0.519379],"probability":0.480621,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T21:08:06.018000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":146.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.160140991210938,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621,0.480621]},{"source":"manifold","id":"500pdg2RdA","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"have the DOJ \"classify educators and public librarians\" who discuss \"transgender ideology\" with minors as \"sex offenders.\" as per project 2025","group_item_title":"have the DOJ \"classify educators and public librarians\" who discuss \"transgender ideology\" with minors as \"sex offenders.\" as per project 2025","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:22:01.147000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":151.60213896722684,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.297959327697754,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"manifold","id":"y288lyPg26","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"ten or more protestors killed during term ","group_item_title":"ten or more protestors killed during term ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.440182,0.559818],"probability":0.440182,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T16:07:31.468000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":87.8328529425438,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.404415607452393,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182,0.440182]},{"source":"manifold","id":"E5zEREUPpZ","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program","group_item_title":"Privatize the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:20:40.158000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":431.5317395201193,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.550455093383789,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]},{"source":"manifold","id":"z29nQRI9gA","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities ","group_item_title":"Remove tax exempt status from one or more universities ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.419584,0.580416],"probability":0.419584,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:58:55.502000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":763.6072888473889,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.213563919067383,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584,0.419584]},{"source":"manifold","id":"8gAuuyQ6np","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Mandate teaching Arabic numerals  in East (American) Samoan schools","group_item_title":"Mandate teaching Arabic numerals  in East (American) Samoan schools","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.404318,0.595682],"probability":0.404318,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-21T04:35:53.559000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":74.5836838285642,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.880916118621826,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318,0.404318]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZRlzNNC9U5","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Raise the retirement age for social security ","group_item_title":"Raise the retirement age for social security ","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.392633,0.607367],"probability":0.392633,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:56:59.992000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":167.31161257758063,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.66388988494873,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633,0.392633]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5Zy8ustyUu","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen","group_item_title":"order the arrest of a governor by name even if it does not happen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:15:49.914000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":474.6023241225624,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.977614402770996,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qdgSu2SN2C","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)","group_item_title":"closes 1 or more national parks (63 as of question creation)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:14:59.664000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":177.32494620975763,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.883027076721191,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"manifold","id":"CQsLAEycO5","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)","group_item_title":"Airstrikes or bombs Mexican territory (drone artillery etc count)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T02:49:52.996000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":876.895138128837,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.89539337158203,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QIEzRChQAQ","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS","group_item_title":"Appoint a crony, such as Bondi, or his personal lawyers, to SCOTUS","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.364892,0.635108],"probability":0.364892,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-15T23:42:16.658000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":325.26943338269723,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.320868492126465,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892,0.364892]},{"source":"manifold","id":"A6U6EQ5z0u","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)","group_item_title":"Accept a gift of an airplane to *himself personally* (not a gift to the US government)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.361875,0.638125],"probability":0.361875,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T21:12:57.998000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":65.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.456278324127197,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875,0.361875]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6uIOzAy9lR","event_id":"tydcQPIPQU","slug":null,"question":"Lessen child labor regulations to allow \"teenage workers\" to work \"inherently dangerous jobs\". (DoL)","group_item_title":"Lessen child labor regulations to allow \"teenage workers\" to work \"inherently dangerous jobs\". (DoL)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-08-13T04:27:52.009000Z","end_date":"2028-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":127.69604041259961,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.678467750549316,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T13:01:48.381327Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T12:59:35.519771Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/strutheo/what-red-lines-will-trump-cross-by","event_title":"🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]}]}